The official Khamenei.ir accounts on X, which disseminate statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, exhibit low posting frequency, with recent data showing roughly 0.1 posts per day on average and activity on only about 10% of days. Multiple language-specific accounts follow similar patterns focused on archival material, commemorative content, and occasional policy statements rather than daily updates. Trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the September 18–25 window reflects this established baseline, absent any immediate scheduled announcements or escalations. A major diplomatic development, regional military incident, or significant anniversary within the resolution period could increase volume and shift probabilities toward higher ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?
<5 93%
5-9 3.8%
10-14 2.0%
15-19 2.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<5
93%
5-9
4%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
2%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 93%
5-9 3.8%
10-14 2.0%
15-19 2.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<5
$675 Vol.
93%
5-9
$5 Vol.
4%
10-14
$55 Vol.
2%
15-19
$55 Vol.
2%
20-24
$55 Vol.
2%
25-29
$55 Vol.
2%
30-34
$55 Vol.
2%
35-39
$55 Vol.
2%
40-44
$120 Vol.
1%
45-49
$5 Vol.
1%
50-54
$12 Vol.
1%
55-59
$12 Vol.
1%
60+
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official Khamenei.ir accounts on X, which disseminate statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, exhibit low posting frequency, with recent data showing roughly 0.1 posts per day on average and activity on only about 10% of days. Multiple language-specific accounts follow similar patterns focused on archival material, commemorative content, and occasional policy statements rather than daily updates. Trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the September 18–25 window reflects this established baseline, absent any immediate scheduled announcements or escalations. A major diplomatic development, regional military incident, or significant anniversary within the resolution period could increase volume and shift probabilities toward higher ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,164End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official Khamenei.ir accounts on X, which disseminate statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, exhibit low posting frequency, with recent data showing roughly 0.1 posts per day on average and activity on only about 10% of days. Multiple language-specific accounts follow similar patterns focused on archival material, commemorative content, and occasional policy statements rather than daily updates. Trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the September 18–25 window reflects this established baseline, absent any immediate scheduled announcements or escalations. A major diplomatic development, regional military incident, or significant anniversary within the resolution period could increase volume and shift probabilities toward higher ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,164End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official Khamenei.ir accounts on X, which disseminate statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, exhibit low posting frequency, with recent data showing roughly 0.1 posts per day on average and activity on only about 10% of days. Multiple language-specific accounts follow similar patterns focused on archival material, commemorative content, and occasional policy statements rather than daily updates. Trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the September 18–25 window reflects this established baseline, absent any immediate scheduled announcements or escalations. A major diplomatic development, regional military incident, or significant anniversary within the resolution period could increase volume and shift probabilities toward higher ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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