Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and model guidance, project NYC overnight lows on September 6 in the 64–67°F range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 66–67°F (46%) and 64–65°F (26.5%). Light northwest winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points support efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–76°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F. Recent model runs show limited spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to disrupt this pattern, keeping probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky enhancements or data revisions from official NWS updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 6?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 6?
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 19%
60-61°F 5.3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 19%
60-61°F 5.3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
$37 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$197 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$17 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$172 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$142 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$126 Vol.
48%
68-69°F
$102 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$17 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$37 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and model guidance, project NYC overnight lows on September 6 in the 64–67°F range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 66–67°F (46%) and 64–65°F (26.5%). Light northwest winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points support efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–76°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F. Recent model runs show limited spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to disrupt this pattern, keeping probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky enhancements or data revisions from official NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$886End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and model guidance, project NYC overnight lows on September 6 in the 64–67°F range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 66–67°F (46%) and 64–65°F (26.5%). Light northwest winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points support efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–76°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F. Recent model runs show limited spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to disrupt this pattern, keeping probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky enhancements or data revisions from official NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$886End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and model guidance, project NYC overnight lows on September 6 in the 64–67°F range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 66–67°F (46%) and 64–65°F (26.5%). Light northwest winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points support efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–76°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F. Recent model runs show limited spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to disrupt this pattern, keeping probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky enhancements or data revisions from official NWS updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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