Northwesterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Wellington on August 29, 2026, are limiting radiative cooling overnight, with official MetService guidance and multiple model outputs indicating a minimum near 9–11 °C. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding in the low teens °C through the afternoon, consistent with above-average late-winter conditions driven by mild northerly flow rather than a southerly outbreak. This setup aligns with historical climatology for the date, where minima rarely drop below 8 °C without a clear anticyclone or cold advection. Trader consensus around the 10–11 °C outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current forecasts, with only modest downside risk if winds ease more than expected before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
10°C 89%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
89%
11°C
60%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 89%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$220 Vol.
2%
10°C
$93 Vol.
89%
11°C
$416 Vol.
60%
12°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Wellington on August 29, 2026, are limiting radiative cooling overnight, with official MetService guidance and multiple model outputs indicating a minimum near 9–11 °C. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding in the low teens °C through the afternoon, consistent with above-average late-winter conditions driven by mild northerly flow rather than a southerly outbreak. This setup aligns with historical climatology for the date, where minima rarely drop below 8 °C without a clear anticyclone or cold advection. Trader consensus around the 10–11 °C outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current forecasts, with only modest downside risk if winds ease more than expected before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,999End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Wellington on August 29, 2026, are limiting radiative cooling overnight, with official MetService guidance and multiple model outputs indicating a minimum near 9–11 °C. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding in the low teens °C through the afternoon, consistent with above-average late-winter conditions driven by mild northerly flow rather than a southerly outbreak. This setup aligns with historical climatology for the date, where minima rarely drop below 8 °C without a clear anticyclone or cold advection. Trader consensus around the 10–11 °C outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current forecasts, with only modest downside risk if winds ease more than expected before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,999End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Wellington on August 29, 2026, are limiting radiative cooling overnight, with official MetService guidance and multiple model outputs indicating a minimum near 9–11 °C. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding in the low teens °C through the afternoon, consistent with above-average late-winter conditions driven by mild northerly flow rather than a southerly outbreak. This setup aligns with historical climatology for the date, where minima rarely drop below 8 °C without a clear anticyclone or cold advection. Trader consensus around the 10–11 °C outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current forecasts, with only modest downside risk if winds ease more than expected before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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