**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily maximum of 31°C in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, driven by widespread light rain or drizzle, persistent cloud cover, and moderate easterly to southeasterly winds that limit surface heating.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office, Chinese weather networks, and numerical models such as GFS and ECMWF shows highs stabilizing near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) amid high humidity and minimal sunshine. This aligns with late-August climatology under a moist subtropical regime where cloud and precipitation suppress peaks that would otherwise reach the mid-30s. Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C at 92% implied probability, reflecting real-time model runs and early-day observations. A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require faster clearing or stronger insolation than currently indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the established thermal profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
31°C 93%
32°C 8%
33°C 1.2%
26°C or below <1%
$63,193 Vol.
$63,193 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
93%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 93%
32°C 8%
33°C 1.2%
26°C or below <1%
$63,193 Vol.
$63,193 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,436 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,444 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,307 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,192 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,018 Vol.
93%
32°C
$10,634 Vol.
8%
33°C
$12,229 Vol.
1%
34°C
$4,470 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily maximum of 31°C in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, driven by widespread light rain or drizzle, persistent cloud cover, and moderate easterly to southeasterly winds that limit surface heating.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office, Chinese weather networks, and numerical models such as GFS and ECMWF shows highs stabilizing near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) amid high humidity and minimal sunshine. This aligns with late-August climatology under a moist subtropical regime where cloud and precipitation suppress peaks that would otherwise reach the mid-30s. Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C at 92% implied probability, reflecting real-time model runs and early-day observations. A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require faster clearing or stronger insolation than currently indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the established thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$63,193End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily maximum of 31°C in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, driven by widespread light rain or drizzle, persistent cloud cover, and moderate easterly to southeasterly winds that limit surface heating.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office, Chinese weather networks, and numerical models such as GFS and ECMWF shows highs stabilizing near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) amid high humidity and minimal sunshine. This aligns with late-August climatology under a moist subtropical regime where cloud and precipitation suppress peaks that would otherwise reach the mid-30s. Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C at 92% implied probability, reflecting real-time model runs and early-day observations. A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require faster clearing or stronger insolation than currently indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the established thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,193End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily maximum of 31°C in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, driven by widespread light rain or drizzle, persistent cloud cover, and moderate easterly to southeasterly winds that limit surface heating.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office, Chinese weather networks, and numerical models such as GFS and ECMWF shows highs stabilizing near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) amid high humidity and minimal sunshine. This aligns with late-August climatology under a moist subtropical regime where cloud and precipitation suppress peaks that would otherwise reach the mid-30s. Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C at 92% implied probability, reflecting real-time model runs and early-day observations. A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require faster clearing or stronger insolation than currently indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the established thermal profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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