Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and widespread cloud cover with periods of light to moderate rain on August 31, driven by peripheral effects from regional typhoon activity following the end of the prolonged heat wave. Multiple models converge on daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with some runs showing brief afternoon peaks to 33 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation, while heavier showers could cap readings at 29–30 °C. This narrow spread, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 30–33 °C, stems from typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing that official agencies update daily.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
14%
31°C
20%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$112 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and widespread cloud cover with periods of light to moderate rain on August 31, driven by peripheral effects from regional typhoon activity following the end of the prolonged heat wave. Multiple models converge on daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with some runs showing brief afternoon peaks to 33 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation, while heavier showers could cap readings at 29–30 °C. This narrow spread, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 30–33 °C, stems from typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing that official agencies update daily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$112End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and widespread cloud cover with periods of light to moderate rain on August 31, driven by peripheral effects from regional typhoon activity following the end of the prolonged heat wave. Multiple models converge on daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with some runs showing brief afternoon peaks to 33 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation, while heavier showers could cap readings at 29–30 °C. This narrow spread, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 30–33 °C, stems from typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing that official agencies update daily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$112End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and widespread cloud cover with periods of light to moderate rain on August 31, driven by peripheral effects from regional typhoon activity following the end of the prolonged heat wave. Multiple models converge on daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with some runs showing brief afternoon peaks to 33 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation, while heavier showers could cap readings at 29–30 °C. This narrow spread, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 30–33 °C, stems from typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing that official agencies update daily.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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