Recent heavy rainfall and associated cold air advection across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs through August 29–30, setting up a rebound under clearing skies on the 31st as the subtropical high strengthens. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates mostly sunny to cloudy conditions with only isolated showers, allowing surface heating to push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s °C; ensemble model guidance clusters around 33–35 °C depending on exact timing of cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. The narrow spread between the 34 °C and 35 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of this recovery, modulated by local basin topography that can trap heat or enhance evaporative cooling, while historical late-August climatology supports values in this range following similar rain events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
34°C 37%
35°C 29%
33°C 19%
37°C 18%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
12%
33°C
19%
34°C
28%
35°C
29%
36°C
13%
37°C
18%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
34°C 37%
35°C 29%
33°C 19%
37°C 18%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
12%
33°C
19%
34°C
28%
35°C
29%
36°C
13%
37°C
18%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and associated cold air advection across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs through August 29–30, setting up a rebound under clearing skies on the 31st as the subtropical high strengthens. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates mostly sunny to cloudy conditions with only isolated showers, allowing surface heating to push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s °C; ensemble model guidance clusters around 33–35 °C depending on exact timing of cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. The narrow spread between the 34 °C and 35 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of this recovery, modulated by local basin topography that can trap heat or enhance evaporative cooling, while historical late-August climatology supports values in this range following similar rain events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions