Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate unsettled conditions over Busan driven by a lingering frontal boundary and high humidity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on August 31. Official guidance points to a maximum near 28–30°C under southwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology after recent heavy rainfall episodes that cooled the boundary layer. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, which could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C if breaks in cloud cover occur midday; however, persistent moisture and reduced insolation currently anchor trader-implied odds around 31–33°C as the most probable range while keeping higher outliers at low probability. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 31?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
30°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
16%
30°C
19%
31°C
26%
32°C
40%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
30°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$90 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$40 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$15 Vol.
40%
33°C
$17 Vol.
20%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$90 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate unsettled conditions over Busan driven by a lingering frontal boundary and high humidity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on August 31. Official guidance points to a maximum near 28–30°C under southwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology after recent heavy rainfall episodes that cooled the boundary layer. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, which could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C if breaks in cloud cover occur midday; however, persistent moisture and reduced insolation currently anchor trader-implied odds around 31–33°C as the most probable range while keeping higher outliers at low probability. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$252End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate unsettled conditions over Busan driven by a lingering frontal boundary and high humidity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on August 31. Official guidance points to a maximum near 28–30°C under southwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology after recent heavy rainfall episodes that cooled the boundary layer. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, which could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C if breaks in cloud cover occur midday; however, persistent moisture and reduced insolation currently anchor trader-implied odds around 31–33°C as the most probable range while keeping higher outliers at low probability. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate unsettled conditions over Busan driven by a lingering frontal boundary and high humidity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on August 31. Official guidance points to a maximum near 28–30°C under southwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology after recent heavy rainfall episodes that cooled the boundary layer. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, which could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C if breaks in cloud cover occur midday; however, persistent moisture and reduced insolation currently anchor trader-implied odds around 31–33°C as the most probable range while keeping higher outliers at low probability. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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