**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
32°C 81%
33°C 24%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$102,795 Vol.
$102,795 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
81%
33°C
24%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 81%
33°C 24%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$102,795 Vol.
$102,795 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$2,564 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$18,367 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,912 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$22,057 Vol.
81%
33°C
$17,903 Vol.
24%
34°C
$14,033 Vol.
1%
35°C
$6,408 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,994 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,983 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,274 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$102,795End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,795End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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