Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus on 17°C and 18°C as leading outcomes. Typical late-winter patterns driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic anticyclones support mild daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 17°C, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk limiting variability. Recent model runs show no significant warm or cold anomalies through the period, keeping lower probabilities for extremes outside 15–19°C. Updated guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range ahead of the final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
17°C 40%
18°C 28%
16°C 23%
15°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
22%
16°C
23%
17°C
40%
18°C
28%
19°C
13%
20°C
19%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
18°C 28%
16°C 23%
15°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$27 Vol.
23%
17°C
$44 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$223 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus on 17°C and 18°C as leading outcomes. Typical late-winter patterns driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic anticyclones support mild daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 17°C, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk limiting variability. Recent model runs show no significant warm or cold anomalies through the period, keeping lower probabilities for extremes outside 15–19°C. Updated guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range ahead of the final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$294End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus on 17°C and 18°C as leading outcomes. Typical late-winter patterns driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic anticyclones support mild daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 17°C, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk limiting variability. Recent model runs show no significant warm or cold anomalies through the period, keeping lower probabilities for extremes outside 15–19°C. Updated guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range ahead of the final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$294End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus on 17°C and 18°C as leading outcomes. Typical late-winter patterns driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic anticyclones support mild daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 17°C, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk limiting variability. Recent model runs show no significant warm or cold anomalies through the period, keeping lower probabilities for extremes outside 15–19°C. Updated guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range ahead of the final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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