**Forecast models from agencies tracking Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate show the overnight low stabilizing near 27°C on August 29, 2026.** Persistent warm, humid air under the influence of the Northwest Pacific subtropical high, combined with light easterly winds and scattered showers, has kept minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range for recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this value, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 94.5% implied probability. A sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling from heavier rainfall or an unforecast wind shift could push readings toward 26°C, but current conditions and model agreement make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
27°C 96%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
96%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 96%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$212 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$316 Vol.
1%
26°C
$459 Vol.
3%
27°C
$2,823 Vol.
96%
28°C
$2,047 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies tracking Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate show the overnight low stabilizing near 27°C on August 29, 2026.** Persistent warm, humid air under the influence of the Northwest Pacific subtropical high, combined with light easterly winds and scattered showers, has kept minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range for recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this value, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 94.5% implied probability. A sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling from heavier rainfall or an unforecast wind shift could push readings toward 26°C, but current conditions and model agreement make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,665End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies tracking Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate show the overnight low stabilizing near 27°C on August 29, 2026.** Persistent warm, humid air under the influence of the Northwest Pacific subtropical high, combined with light easterly winds and scattered showers, has kept minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range for recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this value, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 94.5% implied probability. A sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling from heavier rainfall or an unforecast wind shift could push readings toward 26°C, but current conditions and model agreement make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,665End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies tracking Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate show the overnight low stabilizing near 27°C on August 29, 2026.** Persistent warm, humid air under the influence of the Northwest Pacific subtropical high, combined with light easterly winds and scattered showers, has kept minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range for recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this value, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 94.5% implied probability. A sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling from heavier rainfall or an unforecast wind shift could push readings toward 26°C, but current conditions and model agreement make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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