Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows of 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes for Shanghai on August 31, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 31% and 45%. In late August's subtropical monsoon regime, diurnal temperature ranges typically narrow under humid conditions with southeasterly winds and scattered cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Model runs show highs near 31–32°C followed by minima around 26–27°C amid light rain chances, consistent with climatological baselines for the period. A potential shift toward more organized precipitation on September 1 could introduce slight additional cooling, but current guidance indicates minimal deviation. Traders weigh these near-term model outputs against historical variability in minimum temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
27°C 45%
26°C 31%
28°C 23%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
16%
25°C
21%
26°C
31%
27°C
45%
28°C
23%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
15%
27°C 45%
26°C 31%
28°C 23%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
45%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows of 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes for Shanghai on August 31, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 31% and 45%. In late August's subtropical monsoon regime, diurnal temperature ranges typically narrow under humid conditions with southeasterly winds and scattered cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Model runs show highs near 31–32°C followed by minima around 26–27°C amid light rain chances, consistent with climatological baselines for the period. A potential shift toward more organized precipitation on September 1 could introduce slight additional cooling, but current guidance indicates minimal deviation. Traders weigh these near-term model outputs against historical variability in minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows of 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes for Shanghai on August 31, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 31% and 45%. In late August's subtropical monsoon regime, diurnal temperature ranges typically narrow under humid conditions with southeasterly winds and scattered cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Model runs show highs near 31–32°C followed by minima around 26–27°C amid light rain chances, consistent with climatological baselines for the period. A potential shift toward more organized precipitation on September 1 could introduce slight additional cooling, but current guidance indicates minimal deviation. Traders weigh these near-term model outputs against historical variability in minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows of 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes for Shanghai on August 31, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 31% and 45%. In late August's subtropical monsoon regime, diurnal temperature ranges typically narrow under humid conditions with southeasterly winds and scattered cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Model runs show highs near 31–32°C followed by minima around 26–27°C amid light rain chances, consistent with climatological baselines for the period. A potential shift toward more organized precipitation on September 1 could introduce slight additional cooling, but current guidance indicates minimal deviation. Traders weigh these near-term model outputs against historical variability in minimum temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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