Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. The district's strong Democratic voter base in areas including Lowell and Lawrence, combined with Trahan's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary status, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican candidate Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, has raised negligible funds and lacks competitive polling visibility. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this solidly blue district ahead of the September 1 primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-03 House Election Winner
MA-03 House Election Winner
$23,147 Vol.
$23,147 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$23,147 Vol.
$23,147 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,830 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$11,317 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. The district's strong Democratic voter base in areas including Lowell and Lawrence, combined with Trahan's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary status, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican candidate Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, has raised negligible funds and lacks competitive polling visibility. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this solidly blue district ahead of the September 1 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,147End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. The district's strong Democratic voter base in areas including Lowell and Lawrence, combined with Trahan's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary status, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican candidate Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, has raised negligible funds and lacks competitive polling visibility. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this solidly blue district ahead of the September 1 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,147End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. The district's strong Democratic voter base in areas including Lowell and Lawrence, combined with Trahan's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary status, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican candidate Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, has raised negligible funds and lacks competitive polling visibility. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this solidly blue district ahead of the September 1 primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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