Massachusetts' 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Seth Moulton pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican field remains limited. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' absence of Republican House wins since 1994. Trader consensus at 96.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals and limited crossover voting patterns. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$27,143 Vol.
$27,143 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$27,143 Vol.
$27,143 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,792 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$11,351 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts' 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Seth Moulton pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican field remains limited. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' absence of Republican House wins since 1994. Trader consensus at 96.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals and limited crossover voting patterns. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,143End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts' 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Seth Moulton pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican field remains limited. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' absence of Republican House wins since 1994. Trader consensus at 96.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals and limited crossover voting patterns. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,143End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts' 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Seth Moulton pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican field remains limited. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' absence of Republican House wins since 1994. Trader consensus at 96.8% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals and limited crossover voting patterns. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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