Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for governor in the August 11 primary, establishing a clear lead over Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls through stronger party infrastructure support and broader appeal among Republican voters. Official results showed Demuth at approximately 43 percent to Lindell's 32 percent, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with trader expectations for a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Lindell's Trump endorsement and high-profile status failed to overcome Demuth's institutional advantages in the caucus and primary process. A narrow set of remaining uncertainties, including Lindell's ongoing court challenges to the certified tallies, could theoretically affect final margins if successful, though such outcomes face substantial procedural and evidentiary barriers under Minnesota election law.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDemuth 10%+ 97.8%
Lindell 5–10% 2.0%
Demuth 5–10% 1.8%
Lindell 15–20% 1.7%
$846 Vol.
$846 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Lindell 25%+
2%
Lindell 20–25%
1%
Lindell 15–20%
2%
Lindell 10–15%
1%
Lindell 5–10%
2%
Lindell <5%
1%
Demuth <5%
1%
Demuth 5–10%
2%
Demuth 10%+
98%
Demuth 10%+ 97.8%
Lindell 5–10% 2.0%
Demuth 5–10% 1.8%
Lindell 15–20% 1.7%
$846 Vol.
$846 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Lindell 25%+
$69 Vol.
2%
Lindell 20–25%
$49 Vol.
1%
Lindell 15–20%
$49 Vol.
2%
Lindell 10–15%
$172 Vol.
1%
Lindell 5–10%
$29 Vol.
2%
Lindell <5%
$229 Vol.
1%
Demuth <5%
$229 Vol.
1%
Demuth 5–10%
$0 Vol.
2%
Demuth 10%+
$20 Vol.
98%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for governor in the August 11 primary, establishing a clear lead over Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls through stronger party infrastructure support and broader appeal among Republican voters. Official results showed Demuth at approximately 43 percent to Lindell's 32 percent, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with trader expectations for a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Lindell's Trump endorsement and high-profile status failed to overcome Demuth's institutional advantages in the caucus and primary process. A narrow set of remaining uncertainties, including Lindell's ongoing court challenges to the certified tallies, could theoretically affect final margins if successful, though such outcomes face substantial procedural and evidentiary barriers under Minnesota election law.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volume
$846End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for governor in the August 11 primary, establishing a clear lead over Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls through stronger party infrastructure support and broader appeal among Republican voters. Official results showed Demuth at approximately 43 percent to Lindell's 32 percent, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with trader expectations for a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Lindell's Trump endorsement and high-profile status failed to overcome Demuth's institutional advantages in the caucus and primary process. A narrow set of remaining uncertainties, including Lindell's ongoing court challenges to the certified tallies, could theoretically affect final margins if successful, though such outcomes face substantial procedural and evidentiary barriers under Minnesota election law.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$846End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for governor in the August 11 primary, establishing a clear lead over Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls through stronger party infrastructure support and broader appeal among Republican voters. Official results showed Demuth at approximately 43 percent to Lindell's 32 percent, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with trader expectations for a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Lindell's Trump endorsement and high-profile status failed to overcome Demuth's institutional advantages in the caucus and primary process. A narrow set of remaining uncertainties, including Lindell's ongoing court challenges to the certified tallies, could theoretically affect final margins if successful, though such outcomes face substantial procedural and evidentiary barriers under Minnesota election law.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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