**Natalie Harp remains in her role as special assistant and executive assistant to the president, with no public signals of an imminent departure.** Recent reporting from August 2026 highlights ongoing scrutiny over her security clearance process—she worked in the West Wing for over a year before completing standard background forms, after which clearance was granted following White House counsel and presidential involvement. Coverage also focuses on her close proximity to President Trump, including her role printing materials, managing information flow, and accompanying him on travel, but these accounts portray her as a continuing trusted aide rather than one facing removal. Administration statements have defended her loyalty and work ethic amid partisan criticism, with no official announcements, personnel changes, or statements indicating plans to exit before year-end. Historical patterns in similar White House personal aide positions tied to presidential preference further align with trader expectations that she will retain the post through December 31. The 86% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of credible catalysts for departure within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated14% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
14% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Natalie Harp remains in her role as special assistant and executive assistant to the president, with no public signals of an imminent departure.** Recent reporting from August 2026 highlights ongoing scrutiny over her security clearance process—she worked in the West Wing for over a year before completing standard background forms, after which clearance was granted following White House counsel and presidential involvement. Coverage also focuses on her close proximity to President Trump, including her role printing materials, managing information flow, and accompanying him on travel, but these accounts portray her as a continuing trusted aide rather than one facing removal.
Administration statements have defended her loyalty and work ethic amid partisan criticism, with no official announcements, personnel changes, or statements indicating plans to exit before year-end. Historical patterns in similar White House personal aide positions tied to presidential preference further align with trader expectations that she will retain the post through December 31. The 86% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of credible catalysts for departure within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$210End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Natalie Harp remains in her role as special assistant and executive assistant to the president, with no public signals of an imminent departure.** Recent reporting from August 2026 highlights ongoing scrutiny over her security clearance process—she worked in the West Wing for over a year before completing standard background forms, after which clearance was granted following White House counsel and presidential involvement. Coverage also focuses on her close proximity to President Trump, including her role printing materials, managing information flow, and accompanying him on travel, but these accounts portray her as a continuing trusted aide rather than one facing removal.
Administration statements have defended her loyalty and work ethic amid partisan criticism, with no official announcements, personnel changes, or statements indicating plans to exit before year-end. Historical patterns in similar White House personal aide positions tied to presidential preference further align with trader expectations that she will retain the post through December 31. The 86% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of credible catalysts for departure within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$210End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Natalie Harp remains in her role as special assistant and executive assistant to the president, with no public signals of an imminent departure.** Recent reporting from August 2026 highlights ongoing scrutiny over her security clearance process—she worked in the West Wing for over a year before completing standard background forms, after which clearance was granted following White House counsel and presidential involvement. Coverage also focuses on her close proximity to President Trump, including her role printing materials, managing information flow, and accompanying him on travel, but these accounts portray her as a continuing trusted aide rather than one facing removal. Administration statements have defended her loyalty and work ethic amid partisan criticism, with no official announcements, personnel changes, or statements indicating plans to exit before year-end. Historical patterns in similar White House personal aide positions tied to presidential preference further align with trader expectations that she will retain the post through December 31. The 86% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of credible catalysts for departure within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions