Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds the highest implied probability among traders at 72.5 percent for election as Berlin's next Governing Mayor, ahead of the September 20, 2026, House of Representatives vote that determines the outcome. Stefan Evers of the CDU follows at 22.5 percent after his selection as the party's lead candidate in July, while Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD register at 5.5 percent, 2.4 percent, and 0.3 percent respectively. Recent polling trends showing Die Linke competitive or ahead in a fragmented field have supported Eralp's position, with the election system requiring coalition negotiations after results determine the largest party's influence on mayor selection by the new parliament. Trader consensus incorporates historical patterns of post-election bargaining and current party standings without assuming a single-party majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp 73%
Stefan Evers 22%
Werner Graf 5.6%
Steffen Krach 2.5%
$37,735 Vol.
$37,735 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
73%
Stefan Evers
22%
Werner Graf
6%
Steffen Krach
2%
Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 73%
Stefan Evers 22%
Werner Graf 5.6%
Steffen Krach 2.5%
$37,735 Vol.
$37,735 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
$15,444 Vol.
73%
Stefan Evers
$12,420 Vol.
22%
Werner Graf
$6,506 Vol.
6%
Steffen Krach
$1,313 Vol.
2%
Kristin Brinker
$2,051 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds the highest implied probability among traders at 72.5 percent for election as Berlin's next Governing Mayor, ahead of the September 20, 2026, House of Representatives vote that determines the outcome. Stefan Evers of the CDU follows at 22.5 percent after his selection as the party's lead candidate in July, while Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD register at 5.5 percent, 2.4 percent, and 0.3 percent respectively. Recent polling trends showing Die Linke competitive or ahead in a fragmented field have supported Eralp's position, with the election system requiring coalition negotiations after results determine the largest party's influence on mayor selection by the new parliament. Trader consensus incorporates historical patterns of post-election bargaining and current party standings without assuming a single-party majority.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$37,735End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds the highest implied probability among traders at 72.5 percent for election as Berlin's next Governing Mayor, ahead of the September 20, 2026, House of Representatives vote that determines the outcome. Stefan Evers of the CDU follows at 22.5 percent after his selection as the party's lead candidate in July, while Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD register at 5.5 percent, 2.4 percent, and 0.3 percent respectively. Recent polling trends showing Die Linke competitive or ahead in a fragmented field have supported Eralp's position, with the election system requiring coalition negotiations after results determine the largest party's influence on mayor selection by the new parliament. Trader consensus incorporates historical patterns of post-election bargaining and current party standings without assuming a single-party majority.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,735End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds the highest implied probability among traders at 72.5 percent for election as Berlin's next Governing Mayor, ahead of the September 20, 2026, House of Representatives vote that determines the outcome. Stefan Evers of the CDU follows at 22.5 percent after his selection as the party's lead candidate in July, while Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD register at 5.5 percent, 2.4 percent, and 0.3 percent respectively. Recent polling trends showing Die Linke competitive or ahead in a fragmented field have supported Eralp's position, with the election system requiring coalition negotiations after results determine the largest party's influence on mayor selection by the new parliament. Trader consensus incorporates historical patterns of post-election bargaining and current party standings without assuming a single-party majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions