Jack Lowden has climbed to the top of trader sentiment at 23.2% after recent podcast buzz from Richard Osman positioned the *Slow Horses* star as a strong contender, capitalizing on his British stage-and-screen background, MI5-adjacent role experience, and Scottish heritage echoing the franchise’s origins. Callum Turner remains competitive at 17.0% despite earlier frontrunner status, while the near-even “No Bond chosen” outcome at 21.6% underscores ongoing secrecy around Amazon MGM Studios’ process under casting director Nina Gold and director Denis Villeneuve. The narrow spread among leading names reflects industry emphasis on a younger British actor who can sustain multiple films, combined with a preference for relative unknowns to preserve the character’s enigmatic appeal over more familiar stars. August callbacks and a possible end-of-year announcement remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 23.2%
No Bond chosen 21.6%
Callum Turner 17%
Jacob Elordi 3.7%
$352,174 Vol.
$352,174 Vol.
Jack Lowden
23%
No Bond chosen
22%
Callum Turner
17%
Jacob Elordi
4%
Theo James
3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
James Norton
1%
Tom Holland
1%
Henry Cavill
1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Jack Lowden 23.2%
No Bond chosen 21.6%
Callum Turner 17%
Jacob Elordi 3.7%
$352,174 Vol.
$352,174 Vol.
Jack Lowden
23%
No Bond chosen
22%
Callum Turner
17%
Jacob Elordi
4%
Theo James
3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
James Norton
1%
Tom Holland
1%
Henry Cavill
1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jack Lowden has climbed to the top of trader sentiment at 23.2% after recent podcast buzz from Richard Osman positioned the *Slow Horses* star as a strong contender, capitalizing on his British stage-and-screen background, MI5-adjacent role experience, and Scottish heritage echoing the franchise’s origins. Callum Turner remains competitive at 17.0% despite earlier frontrunner status, while the near-even “No Bond chosen” outcome at 21.6% underscores ongoing secrecy around Amazon MGM Studios’ process under casting director Nina Gold and director Denis Villeneuve. The narrow spread among leading names reflects industry emphasis on a younger British actor who can sustain multiple films, combined with a preference for relative unknowns to preserve the character’s enigmatic appeal over more familiar stars. August callbacks and a possible end-of-year announcement remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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