Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec — Discussion

Democrite · 2026-05-01T22:35:18.811Z

Discussion about Next Premier of Quebec. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 16%

Christine Fréchette 11.8%

Sol Zanetti <1%

$251,694 Vol.

Oct 4, 2026

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$18,887 Vol.

69%

Charles Milliard

$13,217 Vol.

16%

Christine Fréchette

$26,315 Vol.

12%

Sol Zanetti

$50,125 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Drainville

$60,145 Vol.

<1%

Éric Duhaime

$48,619 Vol.

<1%

Ruba Ghazal

$34,450 Vol.

<1%

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 16%

Christine Fréchette 11.8%

Sol Zanetti <1%

$251,694 Vol.

Oct 4, 2026

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$18,887 Vol.

69%

Charles Milliard

$13,217 Vol.

16%

Christine Fréchette

$26,315 Vol.

12%

Sol Zanetti

$50,125 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Drainville

$60,145 Vol.

<1%

Éric Duhaime

$48,619 Vol.

<1%

Ruba Ghazal

$34,450 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

69%

Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?

Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

65%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Premier of Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 69%, followed by "Charles Milliard" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Premier of Quebec" has generated $251.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Premier of Quebec," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Premier of Quebec" is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Milliard" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Premier of Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Next Premier of Quebec." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $251.7K traded on “Next Premier of Quebec,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Next Premier of Quebec," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 69¢ for "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" in the "Next Premier of Quebec" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 69% chance that "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 69¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 31¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Next Premier of Quebec" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Oct 4, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Next Premier of Quebec" market has a growing discussion of 4 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Next Premier of Quebec." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

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Comments (4)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

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