Skip to main content
icon for Next Prime Minister of Greece?
Politics·Greece

Next Prime Minister of Greece?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Greece?
Politics·Greece

Next Prime Minister of Greece?

Kyriakos Mitsotakis 81%

Alexis Tsipras 6.7%

Afroditi Latinopoulou 1.3%

Nikos Androulakis <1%

Polymarket

$18,010 Vol.

Kyriakos Mitsotakis 81%

Alexis Tsipras 6.7%

Afroditi Latinopoulou 1.3%

Nikos Androulakis <1%

Polymarket

$18,010 Vol.

icon for Kyriakos Mitsotakis

Kyriakos Mitsotakis

$12,024 Vol.

81%

icon for Alexis Tsipras

Alexis Tsipras

$816 Vol.

7%

icon for Afroditi Latinopoulou

Afroditi Latinopoulou

$478 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikos Androulakis

Nikos Androulakis

$42 Vol.

1%

icon for Kyriakos Velopoulos

Kyriakos Velopoulos

$588 Vol.

1%

icon for Dimitris Koutsoumbas

Dimitris Koutsoumbas

$83 Vol.

1%

icon for Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

$1,804 Vol.

1%

icon for Maria Karystianou

Maria Karystianou

$262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stefanos Kasselakis

Stefanos Kasselakis

$636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanis Varoufakis

Yanis Varoufakis

$85 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoe Konstantopoulou

Zoe Konstantopoulou

$1,193 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds an 80.5% implied probability as the next Greek prime minister because New Democracy leads recent polls by double digits, reflecting the incumbent’s advantage ahead of the scheduled 2027 parliamentary election. Mitsotakis has repeatedly ruled out a snap vote in 2026, allowing his government to complete its term while advancing fiscal measures and a multi-year development plan. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with Alexis Tsipras’s new ELAS grouping polling around 16% and other challengers such as PASOK and smaller formations trailing further behind. Mitsotakis also leads personal-preference surveys for prime minister suitability. Traders price the remaining named candidates and “other” outcomes far lower, consistent with the structural barriers facing non-incumbent contenders in Greece’s current electoral environment.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
Volume
$18,010
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds an 80.5% implied probability as the next Greek prime minister because New Democracy leads recent polls by double digits, reflecting the incumbent’s advantage ahead of the scheduled 2027 parliamentary election. Mitsotakis has repeatedly ruled out a snap vote in 2026, allowing his government to complete its term while advancing fiscal measures and a multi-year development plan. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with Alexis Tsipras’s new ELAS grouping polling around 16% and other challengers such as PASOK and smaller formations trailing further behind. Mitsotakis also leads personal-preference surveys for prime minister suitability. Traders price the remaining named candidates and “other” outcomes far lower, consistent with the structural barriers facing non-incumbent contenders in Greece’s current electoral environment.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
Volume
$18,010
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.

Related

icon for Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

47%
icon for Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

46%
icon for Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

80%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Greece?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyriakos Mitsotakis" at 81%, followed by "Alexis Tsipras" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Greece?" has generated $18K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Greece?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Greece?" is "Kyriakos Mitsotakis" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexis Tsipras" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Greece?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.