Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit leads in recent North Carolina polling, driven by his high name recognition and record as a two-term Democratic governor, have shifted forecasters including Cook and Sabato’s Crystal Ball from toss-up to Lean Democratic and produced the current trader consensus favoring him at 91.5 percent. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails with lower familiarity and support stuck below 45 percent across multiple surveys through August 2026. The open seat left by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis amplifies the race’s importance for Senate control. Late-breaking events such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen campaign developments remain the primary paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$97,010 Vol.
$97,010 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
9%
$97,010 Vol.
$97,010 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$38,873 Vol.
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
$58,137 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit leads in recent North Carolina polling, driven by his high name recognition and record as a two-term Democratic governor, have shifted forecasters including Cook and Sabato’s Crystal Ball from toss-up to Lean Democratic and produced the current trader consensus favoring him at 91.5 percent. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails with lower familiarity and support stuck below 45 percent across multiple surveys through August 2026. The open seat left by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis amplifies the race’s importance for Senate control. Late-breaking events such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen campaign developments remain the primary paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$97,010End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit leads in recent North Carolina polling, driven by his high name recognition and record as a two-term Democratic governor, have shifted forecasters including Cook and Sabato’s Crystal Ball from toss-up to Lean Democratic and produced the current trader consensus favoring him at 91.5 percent. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails with lower familiarity and support stuck below 45 percent across multiple surveys through August 2026. The open seat left by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis amplifies the race’s importance for Senate control. Late-breaking events such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen campaign developments remain the primary paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$97,010End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit leads in recent North Carolina polling, driven by his high name recognition and record as a two-term Democratic governor, have shifted forecasters including Cook and Sabato’s Crystal Ball from toss-up to Lean Democratic and produced the current trader consensus favoring him at 91.5 percent. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails with lower familiarity and support stuck below 45 percent across multiple surveys through August 2026. The open seat left by retiring incumbent Thom Tillis amplifies the race’s importance for Senate control. Late-breaking events such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen campaign developments remain the primary paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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