The 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election remains highly competitive more than nine months before the June vote, with no candidate commanding majority support in early positioning. Mariana Rodríguez Cantú of Movimiento Ciudadano leads trader pricing at 32.4% while Adrián de la Garza Santos of the PRI-PAN coalition sits at 24%, followed by lower shares for Morena-linked names such as Tatiana Clouthier and Waldo Fernández. Multiple aspirants from MC, traditional opposition parties, and Morena keep the field fragmented. Recent polls show shifting leads between Rodríguez and de la Garza depending on the matchup, underscoring the race's sensitivity to candidate consolidation, coalition negotiations, and voter turnout dynamics in a state where third forces have proven durable. Scheduled primaries and alliance decisions over the coming months could narrow the contest and shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMariana Rodríguez Cantú 32.3%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 22%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez 12.8%
Waldo Fernández González 5.8%
$25,698 Vol.
$25,698 Vol.
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
32%
Adrián de la Garza Santos
22%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
13%
Waldo Fernández González
6%
Jesús Alberto Elizondo
5%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
5%
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
5%
Raúl Lozano Caballero
5%
Clara Luz Flores Carrales
5%
Félix Arratia Cruz
4%
Fernando Margáin Berlanga
3%
Andrés Mijes Llovera
2%
Annia Gómez Cárdenas
2%
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
2%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
1%
Arturo Salinas Garza
1%
Héctor García García
6%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
<1%
Judith Díaz Delgado
<1%
Martha Herrera González
<1%
Miguel Flores Serna
<1%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 32.3%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 22%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez 12.8%
Waldo Fernández González 5.8%
$25,698 Vol.
$25,698 Vol.
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
32%
Adrián de la Garza Santos
22%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
13%
Waldo Fernández González
6%
Jesús Alberto Elizondo
5%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
5%
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
5%
Raúl Lozano Caballero
5%
Clara Luz Flores Carrales
5%
Félix Arratia Cruz
4%
Fernando Margáin Berlanga
3%
Andrés Mijes Llovera
2%
Annia Gómez Cárdenas
2%
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
2%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
1%
Arturo Salinas Garza
1%
Héctor García García
6%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
<1%
Judith Díaz Delgado
<1%
Martha Herrera González
<1%
Miguel Flores Serna
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election remains highly competitive more than nine months before the June vote, with no candidate commanding majority support in early positioning. Mariana Rodríguez Cantú of Movimiento Ciudadano leads trader pricing at 32.4% while Adrián de la Garza Santos of the PRI-PAN coalition sits at 24%, followed by lower shares for Morena-linked names such as Tatiana Clouthier and Waldo Fernández. Multiple aspirants from MC, traditional opposition parties, and Morena keep the field fragmented. Recent polls show shifting leads between Rodríguez and de la Garza depending on the matchup, underscoring the race's sensitivity to candidate consolidation, coalition negotiations, and voter turnout dynamics in a state where third forces have proven durable. Scheduled primaries and alliance decisions over the coming months could narrow the contest and shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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