**Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero holds a narrow edge in the Querétaro 2027 gubernatorial market at 51.5%, ahead of Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera at 38.5% and Santiago Nieto Castillo at 8.3%, with the long list of other names reflecting early-stage internal selection processes in both major coalitions.** PAN maintains an overall polling advantage in the state, consistent with the incumbent administration of Mauricio Kuri González and historical voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. June 2026 surveys from firms such as Arias Consultores, Mitofsky, and GobernArte showed Nava leading or competitive in PAN internal preferences (often 29–33%), followed closely by Macías (current Querétaro mayor) and Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri, while Nieto topped Morena-PT-PVEM registrations among roughly ten aspirants. The contest remains fluid because candidate selection mechanisms—party surveys and potential alliances—are still underway, undecided voters exceed 20% in multiple polls, and no general-election matchup has fully crystallized. Developments that could widen separation include final PAN and Morena coordinator announcements, any coalition realignments, or shifts in state-level polling closer to the formal campaign period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLuis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 51%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 39%
Santiago Nieto Castillo 8.0%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 3.0%
$20,608 Vol.
$20,608 Vol.
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
51%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
39%
Santiago Nieto Castillo
8%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
3%
Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
2%
Abigail Arredondo Ramos
2%
Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
1%
José María Tapia Franco
1%
Josué Guerrero Trápala
1%
Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero
<1%
Paulina Aguado Romero
<1%
Agustín Hernández Ortiz
<1%
Mario Mauro Ramírez González
<1%
Manuel Garrido Patrón
<1%
Paul Ospital Carrera
<1%
Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez
<1%
Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez
<1%
Ricardo Astudillo Suárez
<1%
Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez
<1%
Gilberto Herrera Ruiz
<1%
Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes
<1%
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 51%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 39%
Santiago Nieto Castillo 8.0%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 3.0%
$20,608 Vol.
$20,608 Vol.
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
51%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
39%
Santiago Nieto Castillo
8%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
3%
Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
2%
Abigail Arredondo Ramos
2%
Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
1%
José María Tapia Franco
1%
Josué Guerrero Trápala
1%
Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero
<1%
Paulina Aguado Romero
<1%
Agustín Hernández Ortiz
<1%
Mario Mauro Ramírez González
<1%
Manuel Garrido Patrón
<1%
Paul Ospital Carrera
<1%
Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez
<1%
Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez
<1%
Ricardo Astudillo Suárez
<1%
Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez
<1%
Gilberto Herrera Ruiz
<1%
Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero holds a narrow edge in the Querétaro 2027 gubernatorial market at 51.5%, ahead of Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera at 38.5% and Santiago Nieto Castillo at 8.3%, with the long list of other names reflecting early-stage internal selection processes in both major coalitions.** PAN maintains an overall polling advantage in the state, consistent with the incumbent administration of Mauricio Kuri González and historical voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. June 2026 surveys from firms such as Arias Consultores, Mitofsky, and GobernArte showed Nava leading or competitive in PAN internal preferences (often 29–33%), followed closely by Macías (current Querétaro mayor) and Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri, while Nieto topped Morena-PT-PVEM registrations among roughly ten aspirants. The contest remains fluid because candidate selection mechanisms—party surveys and potential alliances—are still underway, undecided voters exceed 20% in multiple polls, and no general-election matchup has fully crystallized. Developments that could widen separation include final PAN and Morena coordinator announcements, any coalition realignments, or shifts in state-level polling closer to the formal campaign period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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