MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” long-form release on August 22 posted roughly 28 million views in its first 24 hours, setting up day-two expectations around the 41–43 million band that currently commands 54.5% implied probability. Traders cite the creator’s 514-million-subscriber base, reliable algorithmic amplification of high-stakes challenge thumbnails, and typical second-day momentum for similar Saturday drops as the main drivers behind the tight 41–45 million cluster. The August 24 YouTube policy shift—counting views from the first frame—adds near-term uncertainty, though most volume reflects historical patterns rather than speculation on that change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
41–43M 55%
43–45M 19%
39–41M 14.7%
37–39M 6.2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
<35M
2%
35–37M
2%
37–39M
6%
39–41M
15%
41–43M
55%
43–45M
24%
45M+
4%
41–43M 55%
43–45M 19%
39–41M 14.7%
37–39M 6.2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
<35M
$571 Vol.
2%
35–37M
$1,030 Vol.
2%
37–39M
$1,062 Vol.
6%
39–41M
$6,448 Vol.
15%
41–43M
$102 Vol.
55%
43–45M
$103 Vol.
24%
45M+
$139 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” long-form release on August 22 posted roughly 28 million views in its first 24 hours, setting up day-two expectations around the 41–43 million band that currently commands 54.5% implied probability. Traders cite the creator’s 514-million-subscriber base, reliable algorithmic amplification of high-stakes challenge thumbnails, and typical second-day momentum for similar Saturday drops as the main drivers behind the tight 41–45 million cluster. The August 24 YouTube policy shift—counting views from the first frame—adds near-term uncertainty, though most volume reflects historical patterns rather than speculation on that change.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Volume
$9,455End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” long-form release on August 22 posted roughly 28 million views in its first 24 hours, setting up day-two expectations around the 41–43 million band that currently commands 54.5% implied probability. Traders cite the creator’s 514-million-subscriber base, reliable algorithmic amplification of high-stakes challenge thumbnails, and typical second-day momentum for similar Saturday drops as the main drivers behind the tight 41–45 million cluster. The August 24 YouTube policy shift—counting views from the first frame—adds near-term uncertainty, though most volume reflects historical patterns rather than speculation on that change.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$9,455End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” long-form release on August 22 posted roughly 28 million views in its first 24 hours, setting up day-two expectations around the 41–43 million band that currently commands 54.5% implied probability. Traders cite the creator’s 514-million-subscriber base, reliable algorithmic amplification of high-stakes challenge thumbnails, and typical second-day momentum for similar Saturday drops as the main drivers behind the tight 41–45 million cluster. The August 24 YouTube policy shift—counting views from the first frame—adds near-term uncertainty, though most volume reflects historical patterns rather than speculation on that change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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