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icon for Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 78.4%

Gentner Drummond 23%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%

Charles McCall <1%

Polymarket

$525,047 Vol.

Mike Mazzei 78.4%

Gentner Drummond 23%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%

Charles McCall <1%

Polymarket

$525,047 Vol.

icon for Mike Mazzei

Mike Mazzei

$134,737 Vol.

78%

icon for Gentner Drummond

Gentner Drummond

$202,040 Vol.

23%

icon for Leisa Mitchell Haynes

Leisa Mitchell Haynes

$6,429 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charles McCall

Charles McCall

$145,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ryan Walters

Ryan Walters

$8,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chip Keating

Chip Keating

$6,670 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jake Merrick

Jake Merrick

$10,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Pinnell

Matt Pinnell

$10,847 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Mazzei leads trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial runoff due to his strong positioning after the June 16 primary, where he narrowly trailed Attorney General Gentner Drummond and advanced alongside him. Trump's endorsement and the Oklahoma Republican Party State Committee's formal backing on August 22 have consolidated support among conservative voters, while Mazzei's record self-funding exceeding $11 million and emphasis on tax cuts, economic growth, and foreign land ownership restrictions have driven momentum. Drummond campaigns on his statewide AG experience, public safety record, and independence from party insiders, but faces challenges consolidating support from eliminated candidates like Chip Keating and Charles McCall ahead of the August 25 vote. The race remains a test of establishment versus Trump-aligned factions in the deeply Republican state.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$525,047
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Mazzei leads trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial runoff due to his strong positioning after the June 16 primary, where he narrowly trailed Attorney General Gentner Drummond and advanced alongside him. Trump's endorsement and the Oklahoma Republican Party State Committee's formal backing on August 22 have consolidated support among conservative voters, while Mazzei's record self-funding exceeding $11 million and emphasis on tax cuts, economic growth, and foreign land ownership restrictions have driven momentum. Drummond campaigns on his statewide AG experience, public safety record, and independence from party insiders, but faces challenges consolidating support from eliminated candidates like Chip Keating and Charles McCall ahead of the August 25 vote. The race remains a test of establishment versus Trump-aligned factions in the deeply Republican state.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$525,047
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Mazzei" at 78%, followed by "Gentner Drummond" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $525K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Mike Mazzei" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gentner Drummond" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.