Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of Philadelphia with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning the party to retain the seat held previously by retiring Representative Dwight Evans. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this urban district, reflected in the 96.5% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events, though no such factors have emerged since the primary to alter the established positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$31,010 Vol.
$31,010 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$31,010 Vol.
$31,010 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,654 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$11,356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of Philadelphia with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning the party to retain the seat held previously by retiring Representative Dwight Evans. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this urban district, reflected in the 96.5% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events, though no such factors have emerged since the primary to alter the established positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$31,010End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of Philadelphia with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning the party to retain the seat held previously by retiring Representative Dwight Evans. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this urban district, reflected in the 96.5% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events, though no such factors have emerged since the primary to alter the established positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,010End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of Philadelphia with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning the party to retain the seat held previously by retiring Representative Dwight Evans. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this urban district, reflected in the 96.5% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events, though no such factors have emerged since the primary to alter the established positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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