Stephen Skoly holds a clear edge in the September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, backed by the state GOP endorsement secured at the June convention after Victor Mellor withdrew from contention. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon known for opposing COVID-19 mandates, benefits from top ballot placement and stronger grassroots support among party delegates. Recent polling shows him leading Mellor 29-22 among likely primary voters, though nearly half remain undecided. Mellor, a self-funded businessman and Marine veteran who recently returned from Florida, has emphasized border security and conservative priorities but lacks comparable institutional backing. Early voting began August 20, with a televised debate set for September 4; these factors have reinforced trader consensus around Skoly while leaving room for late shifts in a low-information contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
Stephen Skoly
62%
Victor Mellor
34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
Stephen Skoly
$445 Vol.
62%
Victor Mellor
$474 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds a clear edge in the September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, backed by the state GOP endorsement secured at the June convention after Victor Mellor withdrew from contention. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon known for opposing COVID-19 mandates, benefits from top ballot placement and stronger grassroots support among party delegates. Recent polling shows him leading Mellor 29-22 among likely primary voters, though nearly half remain undecided. Mellor, a self-funded businessman and Marine veteran who recently returned from Florida, has emphasized border security and conservative priorities but lacks comparable institutional backing. Early voting began August 20, with a televised debate set for September 4; these factors have reinforced trader consensus around Skoly while leaving room for late shifts in a low-information contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$919End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds a clear edge in the September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, backed by the state GOP endorsement secured at the June convention after Victor Mellor withdrew from contention. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon known for opposing COVID-19 mandates, benefits from top ballot placement and stronger grassroots support among party delegates. Recent polling shows him leading Mellor 29-22 among likely primary voters, though nearly half remain undecided. Mellor, a self-funded businessman and Marine veteran who recently returned from Florida, has emphasized border security and conservative priorities but lacks comparable institutional backing. Early voting began August 20, with a televised debate set for September 4; these factors have reinforced trader consensus around Skoly while leaving room for late shifts in a low-information contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$919End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Skoly holds a clear edge in the September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, backed by the state GOP endorsement secured at the June convention after Victor Mellor withdrew from contention. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon known for opposing COVID-19 mandates, benefits from top ballot placement and stronger grassroots support among party delegates. Recent polling shows him leading Mellor 29-22 among likely primary voters, though nearly half remain undecided. Mellor, a self-funded businessman and Marine veteran who recently returned from Florida, has emphasized border security and conservative priorities but lacks comparable institutional backing. Early voting began August 20, with a televised debate set for September 4; these factors have reinforced trader consensus around Skoly while leaving room for late shifts in a low-information contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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