**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, above the 12% threshold.** Multiple surveys from August 2026 (including INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap) show stable support in the 12–14% range, up slightly from the party’s 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning underpins the 64.5% implied probability for “Over” on Polymarket. Key factors sustaining these figures include the nomination of long-serving parliamentarian Eva von Angern as lead candidate, the party’s established regional presence since 1990, and its campaign emphasizing social issues and opposition to the AfD. Small-party dynamics in the state have also mattered: while the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW hover near or below the 5% entry threshold, Die Linke maintains clearer separation above it. No major late-campaign disruptions or sharp polling shifts have emerged in the final weeks to alter this trajectory. Traders’ consensus therefore reflects the current evidence of consistent double-digit support heading into election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOver
65% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
Over
65% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, above the 12% threshold.** Multiple surveys from August 2026 (including INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap) show stable support in the 12–14% range, up slightly from the party’s 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning underpins the 64.5% implied probability for “Over” on Polymarket.
Key factors sustaining these figures include the nomination of long-serving parliamentarian Eva von Angern as lead candidate, the party’s established regional presence since 1990, and its campaign emphasizing social issues and opposition to the AfD. Small-party dynamics in the state have also mattered: while the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW hover near or below the 5% entry threshold, Die Linke maintains clearer separation above it. No major late-campaign disruptions or sharp polling shifts have emerged in the final weeks to alter this trajectory. Traders’ consensus therefore reflects the current evidence of consistent double-digit support heading into election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$5,400End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, above the 12% threshold.** Multiple surveys from August 2026 (including INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap) show stable support in the 12–14% range, up slightly from the party’s 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning underpins the 64.5% implied probability for “Over” on Polymarket.
Key factors sustaining these figures include the nomination of long-serving parliamentarian Eva von Angern as lead candidate, the party’s established regional presence since 1990, and its campaign emphasizing social issues and opposition to the AfD. Small-party dynamics in the state have also mattered: while the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW hover near or below the 5% entry threshold, Die Linke maintains clearer separation above it. No major late-campaign disruptions or sharp polling shifts have emerged in the final weeks to alter this trajectory. Traders’ consensus therefore reflects the current evidence of consistent double-digit support heading into election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$5,400End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, above the 12% threshold.** Multiple surveys from August 2026 (including INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap) show stable support in the 12–14% range, up slightly from the party’s 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning underpins the 64.5% implied probability for “Over” on Polymarket. Key factors sustaining these figures include the nomination of long-serving parliamentarian Eva von Angern as lead candidate, the party’s established regional presence since 1990, and its campaign emphasizing social issues and opposition to the AfD. Small-party dynamics in the state have also mattered: while the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW hover near or below the 5% entry threshold, Die Linke maintains clearer separation above it. No major late-campaign disruptions or sharp polling shifts have emerged in the final weeks to alter this trajectory. Traders’ consensus therefore reflects the current evidence of consistent double-digit support heading into election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions