Recent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation rebounding to 0.8% from July's 0.5%, driven by firmer non-food prices in transport, energy, and communication equipment that offset ongoing food deflation, particularly in pork. This mixed print, combined with persistent weak household demand, excess manufacturing capacity, and a soft property sector, has kept trader probabilities closely split between the 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets for September. Core inflation edged higher to 1.0%, while producer prices also firmed, signaling modest cost pressures amid global commodity influences. The next National Bureau of Statistics release, expected in mid-October, will resolve the market, with outcomes sensitive to any shifts in fuel costs, seasonal travel demand, or policy support for consumption before then.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.9% to 1.0% 44%
0.7% to 0.8% 40%
1.1%+ 34%
0.5% to 0.6% 30%
NEW
NEW
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.4%
28%
0.5% to 0.6%
30%
0.7% to 0.8%
40%
0.9% to 1.0%
44%
1.1%+
34%
0.9% to 1.0% 44%
0.7% to 0.8% 40%
1.1%+ 34%
0.5% to 0.6% 30%
NEW
NEW
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.4%
$0 Vol.
28%
0.5% to 0.6%
$0 Vol.
30%
0.7% to 0.8%
$40 Vol.
40%
0.9% to 1.0%
$44 Vol.
44%
1.1%+
$0 Vol.
34%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation rebounding to 0.8% from July's 0.5%, driven by firmer non-food prices in transport, energy, and communication equipment that offset ongoing food deflation, particularly in pork. This mixed print, combined with persistent weak household demand, excess manufacturing capacity, and a soft property sector, has kept trader probabilities closely split between the 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets for September. Core inflation edged higher to 1.0%, while producer prices also firmed, signaling modest cost pressures amid global commodity influences. The next National Bureau of Statistics release, expected in mid-October, will resolve the market, with outcomes sensitive to any shifts in fuel costs, seasonal travel demand, or policy support for consumption before then.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$84End Date
Oct 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation rebounding to 0.8% from July's 0.5%, driven by firmer non-food prices in transport, energy, and communication equipment that offset ongoing food deflation, particularly in pork. This mixed print, combined with persistent weak household demand, excess manufacturing capacity, and a soft property sector, has kept trader probabilities closely split between the 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets for September. Core inflation edged higher to 1.0%, while producer prices also firmed, signaling modest cost pressures amid global commodity influences. The next National Bureau of Statistics release, expected in mid-October, will resolve the market, with outcomes sensitive to any shifts in fuel costs, seasonal travel demand, or policy support for consumption before then.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$84End Date
Oct 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation rebounding to 0.8% from July's 0.5%, driven by firmer non-food prices in transport, energy, and communication equipment that offset ongoing food deflation, particularly in pork. This mixed print, combined with persistent weak household demand, excess manufacturing capacity, and a soft property sector, has kept trader probabilities closely split between the 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets for September. Core inflation edged higher to 1.0%, while producer prices also firmed, signaling modest cost pressures amid global commodity influences. The next National Bureau of Statistics release, expected in mid-October, will resolve the market, with outcomes sensitive to any shifts in fuel costs, seasonal travel demand, or policy support for consumption before then.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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