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Politics·Primaries

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner

icon for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner
Politics·Primaries

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner

Polymarket
NEW

$10,895 Vol.

Polymarket
NEW

$10,895 Vol.

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$8,604 Vol.

98%

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$2,291 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.**Ralph Norman holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for winning Spartanburg County in the August 25 Republican runoff because he posted a decisive 38-24 percent margin over Darline Graham Nordone in that county during the August 11 special primary.** Norman’s stronger showing across Upstate counties, including double-digit leads in areas overlapping his former congressional district, reflects localized conservative support that reversed the statewide pattern where Graham finished first overall. Low turnout in the primary (11 percent in Spartanburg) still produced clear regional divides, with Norman carrying most Upstate counties while Graham dominated the Midlands and Lowcountry. Graham’s incumbency, appointment to finish her brother’s term, and presidential endorsement provide statewide advantages, yet these have not translated into competitive positioning in Spartanburg. A scheduled runoff debate and the short campaign window leave limited time for shifts. Trader pricing leaves little room for Graham to overcome the established Upstate preference absent a sharp change in turnout or late voter movement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
Volume
$10,895
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.**Ralph Norman holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for winning Spartanburg County in the August 25 Republican runoff because he posted a decisive 38-24 percent margin over Darline Graham Nordone in that county during the August 11 special primary.** Norman’s stronger showing across Upstate counties, including double-digit leads in areas overlapping his former congressional district, reflects localized conservative support that reversed the statewide pattern where Graham finished first overall. Low turnout in the primary (11 percent in Spartanburg) still produced clear regional divides, with Norman carrying most Upstate counties while Graham dominated the Midlands and Lowcountry. Graham’s incumbency, appointment to finish her brother’s term, and presidential endorsement provide statewide advantages, yet these have not translated into competitive positioning in Spartanburg. A scheduled runoff debate and the short campaign window leave limited time for shifts. Trader pricing leaves little room for Graham to overcome the established Upstate preference absent a sharp change in turnout or late voter movement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
Volume
$10,895
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ralph Norman" at 98%, followed by "Darline Graham Nordone" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner" is "Ralph Norman" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darline Graham Nordone" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.