Recent Swedish polling aggregates place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably in the top three, leaving Centre (C), Left (V), Greens (MP), and Christian Democrats (KD) clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth. Centre has shown modest gains over the summer while Greens and Left have also edged upward in several surveys, keeping the ordering fluid ahead of the September 13 vote. The 4% threshold and shifting voter flows among smaller blocs amplify volatility for these parties. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to Centre finishing fifth, with Left and Greens close behind and KD further back, reflecting the narrow margins and limited time for decisive separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentre Party (C) 29%
Left Party (V) 24%
Green Party (MP) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 15%
$12,924 Vol.
$12,924 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Centre Party (C)
29%
Left Party (V)
24%
Green Party (MP)
23%
Christian Democrats (KD)
15%
Moderate Party (M)
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
Centre Party (C) 29%
Left Party (V) 24%
Green Party (MP) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 15%
$12,924 Vol.
$12,924 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Centre Party (C)
$2,439 Vol.
29%
Left Party (V)
$2,441 Vol.
24%
Green Party (MP)
$1,836 Vol.
23%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,322 Vol.
15%
Moderate Party (M)
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$967 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$556 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$597 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$646 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling aggregates place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably in the top three, leaving Centre (C), Left (V), Greens (MP), and Christian Democrats (KD) clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth. Centre has shown modest gains over the summer while Greens and Left have also edged upward in several surveys, keeping the ordering fluid ahead of the September 13 vote. The 4% threshold and shifting voter flows among smaller blocs amplify volatility for these parties. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to Centre finishing fifth, with Left and Greens close behind and KD further back, reflecting the narrow margins and limited time for decisive separation before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
Volume
$12,924End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling aggregates place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably in the top three, leaving Centre (C), Left (V), Greens (MP), and Christian Democrats (KD) clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth. Centre has shown modest gains over the summer while Greens and Left have also edged upward in several surveys, keeping the ordering fluid ahead of the September 13 vote. The 4% threshold and shifting voter flows among smaller blocs amplify volatility for these parties. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to Centre finishing fifth, with Left and Greens close behind and KD further back, reflecting the narrow margins and limited time for decisive separation before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$12,924End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling aggregates place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably in the top three, leaving Centre (C), Left (V), Greens (MP), and Christian Democrats (KD) clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth. Centre has shown modest gains over the summer while Greens and Left have also edged upward in several surveys, keeping the ordering fluid ahead of the September 13 vote. The 4% threshold and shifting voter flows among smaller blocs amplify volatility for these parties. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to Centre finishing fifth, with Left and Greens close behind and KD further back, reflecting the narrow margins and limited time for decisive separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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