Recent polling for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading, followed by the Sweden Democrats and Moderates, leaving the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats clustered in the 6–8% range. This narrow band of support creates intense competition for fourth place, as even modest shifts in voter preference among smaller parties or turnout variations could reorder their finish. Trader consensus reflected in current prices highlights the Left Party's slight edge, followed closely by the Centre and Greens, while the Christian Democrats trail. With three weeks remaining until the vote, late-campaign events, regional differences, or adjustments in bloc alignments remain the primary factors that could separate these contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLeft Party (V) 29%
Centre Party (C) 27%
Green Party (MP) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%

Left Party (V)
29%

Centre Party (C)
27%

Green Party (MP)
24%

Christian Democrats (KD)
14%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Moderate Party (M)
<1%
Left Party (V) 29%
Centre Party (C) 27%
Green Party (MP) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%

Left Party (V)
29%

Centre Party (C)
27%

Green Party (MP)
24%

Christian Democrats (KD)
14%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Moderate Party (M)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading, followed by the Sweden Democrats and Moderates, leaving the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats clustered in the 6–8% range. This narrow band of support creates intense competition for fourth place, as even modest shifts in voter preference among smaller parties or turnout variations could reorder their finish. Trader consensus reflected in current prices highlights the Left Party's slight edge, followed closely by the Centre and Greens, while the Christian Democrats trail. With three weeks remaining until the vote, late-campaign events, regional differences, or adjustments in bloc alignments remain the primary factors that could separate these contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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