Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows Centre (C), Left (V), and Green (MP) parties clustered closely in the 6–8% range, with Christian Democrats (KD) slightly lower, creating a narrow contest for fifth place. These figures have remained stable over recent months, with limited movement in voter preferences among smaller parties outside the dominant Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates. The tight implied probabilities reflect comparable base support, bloc dynamics, and remaining uncertainty over turnout and late shifts. Upcoming campaign events or targeted appeals on issues such as rural policy, environmental priorities, or welfare could alter relative standings before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentre Party (C) 29%
Left Party (V) 24%
Green Party (MP) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%
$12,924 Vol.
$12,924 Vol.

Centre Party (C)
29%

Left Party (V)
24%

Green Party (MP)
23%

Christian Democrats (KD)
14%

Moderate Party (M)
<1%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
Centre Party (C) 29%
Left Party (V) 24%
Green Party (MP) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%
$12,924 Vol.
$12,924 Vol.

Centre Party (C)
29%

Left Party (V)
24%

Green Party (MP)
23%

Christian Democrats (KD)
14%

Moderate Party (M)
<1%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows Centre (C), Left (V), and Green (MP) parties clustered closely in the 6–8% range, with Christian Democrats (KD) slightly lower, creating a narrow contest for fifth place. These figures have remained stable over recent months, with limited movement in voter preferences among smaller parties outside the dominant Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates. The tight implied probabilities reflect comparable base support, bloc dynamics, and remaining uncertainty over turnout and late shifts. Upcoming campaign events or targeted appeals on issues such as rural policy, environmental priorities, or welfare could alter relative standings before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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