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Politics·Taiwan

Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner

Wu Hsiu-hua 86%

Chen Ying 15%

Li Wu Ying-chih <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Wu Hsiu-hua 86%

Chen Ying 15%

Li Wu Ying-chih <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua

Wu Hsiu-hua

$3,817 Vol.

86%

icon for Chen Ying

Chen Ying

$2,537 Vol.

15%

icon for Li Wu Ying-chih

Li Wu Ying-chih

$1,124 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua holds an 86% implied probability as the leading outcome for the 2026 Taitung County Magistrate race, reflecting the Kuomintang's (KMT) early nomination of the incumbent county council speaker to succeed term-limited KMT magistrate Yao Ching-ling. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee Chen Ying trails at 14.5%, with all other listed candidates at or near 50% or lower. Trader consensus aligns with KMT structural advantages in the county, including established local networks and prior electoral patterns in rural and indigenous constituencies. Recent developments include former President Tsai Ing-wen's August 2026 acceptance of Chen Ying's request to chair her campaign and independent contender Liu Chao-hao's withdrawal announcement, yet neither has materially altered positioning. The November 29 election remains the key resolution trigger amid standard campaign timelines.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,479
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua holds an 86% implied probability as the leading outcome for the 2026 Taitung County Magistrate race, reflecting the Kuomintang's (KMT) early nomination of the incumbent county council speaker to succeed term-limited KMT magistrate Yao Ching-ling. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee Chen Ying trails at 14.5%, with all other listed candidates at or near 50% or lower. Trader consensus aligns with KMT structural advantages in the county, including established local networks and prior electoral patterns in rural and indigenous constituencies. Recent developments include former President Tsai Ing-wen's August 2026 acceptance of Chen Ying's request to chair her campaign and independent contender Liu Chao-hao's withdrawal announcement, yet neither has materially altered positioning. The November 29 election remains the key resolution trigger amid standard campaign timelines.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,479
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wu Hsiu-hua" at 86%, followed by "Chen Ying" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Wu Hsiu-hua" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chen Ying" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.