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Politics·Florida

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Florida

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Loranne Ausley 61%

Jeremy Matlow 38.2%

Daryl Parks <1%

Al Lawson <1%

Polymarket

$138,536 Vol.

Loranne Ausley 61%

Jeremy Matlow 38.2%

Daryl Parks <1%

Al Lawson <1%

Polymarket

$138,536 Vol.

icon for Loranne Ausley

Loranne Ausley

$88,674 Vol.

61%

icon for Jeremy Matlow

Jeremy Matlow

$11,637 Vol.

38%

icon for Daryl Parks

Daryl Parks

$10,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Al Lawson

Al Lawson

$22,258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Foust

Michael Foust

$5,128 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.Tallahassee voters advanced Loranne Ausley and Jeremy Matlow to the November 3 runoff after the August 18 nonpartisan primary, where Matlow led narrowly with 36% to Ausley's 34% and Daryl Parks finished third at 25%. The market's 60.5% implied probability on Ausley reflects trader assessment of her stronger fundraising, labor endorsements, and broader appeal in a head-to-head general election contest against the city commissioner. Matlow's 38.2% pricing incorporates his primary momentum and progressive support base, while the near-zero odds on eliminated candidates and other listed names align with their removal from contention under runoff rules. No major developments have surfaced in the five days since the primary to shift this positioning.

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Volume
$138,536
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.Tallahassee voters advanced Loranne Ausley and Jeremy Matlow to the November 3 runoff after the August 18 nonpartisan primary, where Matlow led narrowly with 36% to Ausley's 34% and Daryl Parks finished third at 25%. The market's 60.5% implied probability on Ausley reflects trader assessment of her stronger fundraising, labor endorsements, and broader appeal in a head-to-head general election contest against the city commissioner. Matlow's 38.2% pricing incorporates his primary momentum and progressive support base, while the near-zero odds on eliminated candidates and other listed names align with their removal from contention under runoff rules. No major developments have surfaced in the five days since the primary to shift this positioning.

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Volume
$138,536
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Loranne Ausley" at 61%, followed by "Jeremy Matlow" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $138.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner" is "Loranne Ausley" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeremy Matlow" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.