Incumbent Phil Scott secured the Republican nomination for a sixth two-year term in Vermont’s August 11 primary with over 98 percent of the vote against only write-in opposition. His May filing announcement drew no serious challengers, consistent with his long record of winning statewide contests in a state where Republicans hold the governorship despite Democratic legislative majorities. Trader consensus at 99.2 percent for Scott reflects the primary’s uncontested structure and established incumbency advantage. John Rodgers, the sitting lieutenant governor, pursued his own separate re-election bid rather than the governorship. Limited remaining uncertainty centers on any potential post-primary procedural challenges or delays in certification, though none have surfaced.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$18,398 Vol.
$18,398 Vol.
Phil Scott
99%
John Rodgers
2%
$18,398 Vol.
$18,398 Vol.
Phil Scott
99%
John Rodgers
2%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Incumbent Phil Scott secured the Republican nomination for a sixth two-year term in Vermont’s August 11 primary with over 98 percent of the vote against only write-in opposition. His May filing announcement drew no serious challengers, consistent with his long record of winning statewide contests in a state where Republicans hold the governorship despite Democratic legislative majorities. Trader consensus at 99.2 percent for Scott reflects the primary’s uncontested structure and established incumbency advantage. John Rodgers, the sitting lieutenant governor, pursued his own separate re-election bid rather than the governorship. Limited remaining uncertainty centers on any potential post-primary procedural challenges or delays in certification, though none have surfaced.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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