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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Aug 25

Aug 25

Tires: Season 3 98.5%

Outer Banks: Season 5 1.5%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 1.2%

My Brilliant Career: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Tires: Season 3 98.5%

Outer Banks: Season 5 1.5%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 1.2%

My Brilliant Career: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$8,374 Vol.

99%

icon for Outer Banks: Season 5

Outer Banks: Season 5

$253 Vol.

2%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$147 Vol.

1%

icon for My Brilliant Career: Season 1

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

$15 Vol.

1%

icon for Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

$544 Vol.

1%

icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$162 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Tires Season 3's August 13 premiere on Netflix has fueled overwhelming trader consensus for the #2 U.S. ranking this week, reflecting its rapid ascent from prior seasons' strong viewership, Shane Gillis's comedy appeal, and the show's quick renewal signaling platform investment. Recent U.S. Top 10 data shows it already climbing amid competition from established titles like My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3, with metrics such as minutes viewed and completion rates supporting momentum in the comedy genre. Historical patterns favor buzzy new drops holding high positions early post-launch. An upset could occur if a surprise surge from ongoing hits like Outer Banks Season 5 or new documentary entries overtakes it before weekly charts lock, though current engagement trends make that unlikely.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$9,496
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Tires Season 3's August 13 premiere on Netflix has fueled overwhelming trader consensus for the #2 U.S. ranking this week, reflecting its rapid ascent from prior seasons' strong viewership, Shane Gillis's comedy appeal, and the show's quick renewal signaling platform investment. Recent U.S. Top 10 data shows it already climbing amid competition from established titles like My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3, with metrics such as minutes viewed and completion rates supporting momentum in the comedy genre. Historical patterns favor buzzy new drops holding high positions early post-launch. An upset could occur if a surprise surge from ongoing hits like Outer Banks Season 5 or new documentary entries overtakes it before weekly charts lock, though current engagement trends make that unlikely.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$9,496
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tires: Season 3" at 99%, followed by "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Tires: Season 3" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.