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What will Trump say in August?

icon for What will Trump say in August?

What will Trump say in August?

Aug 31

Aug 31

$66,211 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$66,211 Vol.

Polymarket

Red Card

$464 Vol.

9%

Death to America

$422 Vol.

51%

Sucker

$1,075 Vol.

56%

Garbage

$9 Vol.

52%

Let Me Finish

$680 Vol.

11%

Potato

$204 Vol.

39%

Tango

$152 Vol.

28%

Central Casting

$6,623 Vol.

48%

Antifa

$3,321 Vol.

9%

Cocaine

$416 Vol.

15%

Movie Star

$0 Vol.

51%

Green New Scam

$119 Vol.

55%

State of the Art

$184 Vol.

30%

Soaking Wet

$11,215 Vol.

9%

Presidential Walk of Fame

$36 Vol.

33%

Epstein

$417 Vol.

11%

Moscow

$2,840 Vol.

23%

Thomas Jefferson

$394 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump’s second-term schedule of public remarks, executive actions, and roundtables centers trader attention on recurring policy themes during the August window. Early-month orders addressing birthright citizenship and birth tourism, combined with events on critical minerals, domestic manufacturing, and immigration enforcement, have reinforced expectations for references to trade, border security, and economic priorities. Ongoing diplomatic and economic pressure on Iran, including Strait of Hormuz developments and related negotiations, plus cabinet meetings and appearances such as the August 23 Freedom 250 Grand Prix, provide further platforms for unscripted comments. These catalysts shape the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of which specific terms or phrases are most likely to surface before month-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$66,211
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump’s second-term schedule of public remarks, executive actions, and roundtables centers trader attention on recurring policy themes during the August window. Early-month orders addressing birthright citizenship and birth tourism, combined with events on critical minerals, domestic manufacturing, and immigration enforcement, have reinforced expectations for references to trade, border security, and economic priorities. Ongoing diplomatic and economic pressure on Iran, including Strait of Hormuz developments and related negotiations, plus cabinet meetings and appearances such as the August 23 Freedom 250 Grand Prix, provide further platforms for unscripted comments. These catalysts shape the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of which specific terms or phrases are most likely to surface before month-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$66,211
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ass" at 100%, followed by "Shit" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in August?" has generated $66.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in August?," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in August?" is "Ass" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shit" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.