No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward Other at 50 percent amid broad uncertainty over timing. Andy Beshear leads named options at 28.5 percent, reflecting his repeated expressions of openness, strong approval ratings in a Republican-leaning state, and positioning as a moderate governor focused on working-class issues. Gavin Newsom sits at 19 percent after publicly acknowledging interest and engaging in high-profile national commentary, while Kamala Harris at 12 percent benefits from early primary calendar shifts favoring South Carolina but trails due to caution following her 2024 defeat. Pete Buttigieg, Rahm Emanuel, and Ro Khanna each hover near 9–12 percent on the strength of prior national profiles and donor networks, though none have signaled imminent launches. Recent DNC calendar decisions and mid-2026 polling have shaped trader views without producing confirmed announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAndy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 19.0%
Pete Buttigieg 12%
Kamala Harris 12%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
29%
Gavin Newsom
19%
Pete Buttigieg
12%
Kamala Harris
12%
Rahm Emanuel
10%
Ro Khanna
10%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Jon Ossoff
2%
Jon Stewart
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1%
Andy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 19.0%
Pete Buttigieg 12%
Kamala Harris 12%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
$1,914 Vol.
29%
Gavin Newsom
$3,308 Vol.
19%
Pete Buttigieg
$622 Vol.
12%
Kamala Harris
$550 Vol.
12%
Rahm Emanuel
$656 Vol.
10%
Ro Khanna
$528 Vol.
10%
Stephen A. Smith
$300 Vol.
4%
Josh Shapiro
$306 Vol.
4%
Jon Ossoff
$306 Vol.
2%
Jon Stewart
$364 Vol.
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$391 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward Other at 50 percent amid broad uncertainty over timing. Andy Beshear leads named options at 28.5 percent, reflecting his repeated expressions of openness, strong approval ratings in a Republican-leaning state, and positioning as a moderate governor focused on working-class issues. Gavin Newsom sits at 19 percent after publicly acknowledging interest and engaging in high-profile national commentary, while Kamala Harris at 12 percent benefits from early primary calendar shifts favoring South Carolina but trails due to caution following her 2024 defeat. Pete Buttigieg, Rahm Emanuel, and Ro Khanna each hover near 9–12 percent on the strength of prior national profiles and donor networks, though none have signaled imminent launches. Recent DNC calendar decisions and mid-2026 polling have shaped trader views without producing confirmed announcements.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Volume
$9,245End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward Other at 50 percent amid broad uncertainty over timing. Andy Beshear leads named options at 28.5 percent, reflecting his repeated expressions of openness, strong approval ratings in a Republican-leaning state, and positioning as a moderate governor focused on working-class issues. Gavin Newsom sits at 19 percent after publicly acknowledging interest and engaging in high-profile national commentary, while Kamala Harris at 12 percent benefits from early primary calendar shifts favoring South Carolina but trails due to caution following her 2024 defeat. Pete Buttigieg, Rahm Emanuel, and Ro Khanna each hover near 9–12 percent on the strength of prior national profiles and donor networks, though none have signaled imminent launches. Recent DNC calendar decisions and mid-2026 polling have shaped trader views without producing confirmed announcements.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,245End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward Other at 50 percent amid broad uncertainty over timing. Andy Beshear leads named options at 28.5 percent, reflecting his repeated expressions of openness, strong approval ratings in a Republican-leaning state, and positioning as a moderate governor focused on working-class issues. Gavin Newsom sits at 19 percent after publicly acknowledging interest and engaging in high-profile national commentary, while Kamala Harris at 12 percent benefits from early primary calendar shifts favoring South Carolina but trails due to caution following her 2024 defeat. Pete Buttigieg, Rahm Emanuel, and Ro Khanna each hover near 9–12 percent on the strength of prior national profiles and donor networks, though none have signaled imminent launches. Recent DNC calendar decisions and mid-2026 polling have shaped trader views without producing confirmed announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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