Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the seat’s R+20 partisan voter index and consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Moore advanced unopposed through the May Republican primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi secured a narrow primary win amid limited opposition strength. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before Election Day include a major candidate scandal, health issue, or an unusually strong national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWV-02 House Election Winner
WV-02 House Election Winner
$96,589 Vol.
$96,589 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
2%
$96,589 Vol.
$96,589 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$68,399 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$28,191 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the seat’s R+20 partisan voter index and consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Moore advanced unopposed through the May Republican primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi secured a narrow primary win amid limited opposition strength. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before Election Day include a major candidate scandal, health issue, or an unusually strong national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$96,589End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the seat’s R+20 partisan voter index and consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Moore advanced unopposed through the May Republican primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi secured a narrow primary win amid limited opposition strength. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before Election Day include a major candidate scandal, health issue, or an unusually strong national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$96,589End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the seat’s R+20 partisan voter index and consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Moore advanced unopposed through the May Republican primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi secured a narrow primary win amid limited opposition strength. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% probability for the Republican nominee. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before Election Day include a major candidate scandal, health issue, or an unusually strong national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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