UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly election through its strong performance on August 13, 2026, capturing a clear majority of the 226 constituency seats plus proportional representation allocations under the mixed electoral system. Incumbency advantages, including economic stabilization measures, debt restructuring, and the expansion of free education, helped consolidate support across the UPND Alliance amid a field of 29 parties. The party fielded candidates nationwide while the main challenger, NRPUP, contested far fewer seats. Trader consensus at 99.2% reflects these declared results and the absence of successful legal challenges to date. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential court petitions over alleged irregularities or localized violence reported on election night, though historical precedent and institutional processes make wholesale reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUPND 99.2%
NRPUP 2.6%
SP <1%
CF <1%
$26,744 Vol.
$26,744 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
UPND
99%
NRPUP
3%
SP
1%
CF
<1%
UPND 99.2%
NRPUP 2.6%
SP <1%
CF <1%
$26,744 Vol.
$26,744 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
UPND
$20,652 Vol.
99%
NRPUP
$2,587 Vol.
3%
SP
$1,740 Vol.
1%
CF
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly election through its strong performance on August 13, 2026, capturing a clear majority of the 226 constituency seats plus proportional representation allocations under the mixed electoral system. Incumbency advantages, including economic stabilization measures, debt restructuring, and the expansion of free education, helped consolidate support across the UPND Alliance amid a field of 29 parties. The party fielded candidates nationwide while the main challenger, NRPUP, contested far fewer seats. Trader consensus at 99.2% reflects these declared results and the absence of successful legal challenges to date. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential court petitions over alleged irregularities or localized violence reported on election night, though historical precedent and institutional processes make wholesale reversal unlikely.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$26,744End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly election through its strong performance on August 13, 2026, capturing a clear majority of the 226 constituency seats plus proportional representation allocations under the mixed electoral system. Incumbency advantages, including economic stabilization measures, debt restructuring, and the expansion of free education, helped consolidate support across the UPND Alliance amid a field of 29 parties. The party fielded candidates nationwide while the main challenger, NRPUP, contested far fewer seats. Trader consensus at 99.2% reflects these declared results and the absence of successful legal challenges to date. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential court petitions over alleged irregularities or localized violence reported on election night, though historical precedent and institutional processes make wholesale reversal unlikely.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Volume
$26,744End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly election through its strong performance on August 13, 2026, capturing a clear majority of the 226 constituency seats plus proportional representation allocations under the mixed electoral system. Incumbency advantages, including economic stabilization measures, debt restructuring, and the expansion of free education, helped consolidate support across the UPND Alliance amid a field of 29 parties. The party fielded candidates nationwide while the main challenger, NRPUP, contested far fewer seats. Trader consensus at 99.2% reflects these declared results and the absence of successful legal challenges to date. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential court petitions over alleged irregularities or localized violence reported on election night, though historical precedent and institutional processes make wholesale reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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