Argentina’s July 2026 monthly inflation printed at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%. This modest reacceleration, driven by seasonal food and energy components plus regulated-price adjustments, has anchored trader expectations for the August reading near the recent trend. Market-implied odds favor the 1.8-2.0% bucket at 51.5% and 1.5-1.7% at 35.6%, reflecting the ongoing disinflation path under fiscal austerity and monetary restraint, tempered by residual inertia and potential seasonal volatility. Analysts project a modest step-down toward 1.8% for August ahead of the September 10 release, consistent with the central-bank survey’s lowered 2026 year-end forecast near 29.8%. These probabilities embed the balance between continued policy-driven moderation and near-term data stickiness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 51.6%
1.5-1.7% 35.6%
2.1-2.3% 5.5%
≤1.1% <1%
$13,046 Vol.
$13,046 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
<1%
1.5-1.7%
36%
1.8-2.0%
52%
2.1-2.3%
6%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
<1%
3.0%+
<1%
1.8-2.0% 51.6%
1.5-1.7% 35.6%
2.1-2.3% 5.5%
≤1.1% <1%
$13,046 Vol.
$13,046 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$677 Vol.
1%
1.2-1.4%
$723 Vol.
<1%
1.5-1.7%
$3,610 Vol.
36%
1.8-2.0%
$5,232 Vol.
52%
2.1-2.3%
$1,154 Vol.
6%
2.4-2.6%
$554 Vol.
1%
2.7-2.9%
$549 Vol.
<1%
3.0%+
$549 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s July 2026 monthly inflation printed at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%. This modest reacceleration, driven by seasonal food and energy components plus regulated-price adjustments, has anchored trader expectations for the August reading near the recent trend. Market-implied odds favor the 1.8-2.0% bucket at 51.5% and 1.5-1.7% at 35.6%, reflecting the ongoing disinflation path under fiscal austerity and monetary restraint, tempered by residual inertia and potential seasonal volatility. Analysts project a modest step-down toward 1.8% for August ahead of the September 10 release, consistent with the central-bank survey’s lowered 2026 year-end forecast near 29.8%. These probabilities embed the balance between continued policy-driven moderation and near-term data stickiness.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$13,046End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s July 2026 monthly inflation printed at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%. This modest reacceleration, driven by seasonal food and energy components plus regulated-price adjustments, has anchored trader expectations for the August reading near the recent trend. Market-implied odds favor the 1.8-2.0% bucket at 51.5% and 1.5-1.7% at 35.6%, reflecting the ongoing disinflation path under fiscal austerity and monetary restraint, tempered by residual inertia and potential seasonal volatility. Analysts project a modest step-down toward 1.8% for August ahead of the September 10 release, consistent with the central-bank survey’s lowered 2026 year-end forecast near 29.8%. These probabilities embed the balance between continued policy-driven moderation and near-term data stickiness.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$13,046End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s July 2026 monthly inflation printed at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%. This modest reacceleration, driven by seasonal food and energy components plus regulated-price adjustments, has anchored trader expectations for the August reading near the recent trend. Market-implied odds favor the 1.8-2.0% bucket at 51.5% and 1.5-1.7% at 35.6%, reflecting the ongoing disinflation path under fiscal austerity and monetary restraint, tempered by residual inertia and potential seasonal volatility. Analysts project a modest step-down toward 1.8% for August ahead of the September 10 release, consistent with the central-bank survey’s lowered 2026 year-end forecast near 29.8%. These probabilities embed the balance between continued policy-driven moderation and near-term data stickiness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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