**China’s August CPI release, due in September, sits at the center of trader focus amid subdued domestic demand and mixed price signals.** July’s 0.5% year-on-year print—well below the 0.8% consensus—highlighted ongoing drags from food deflation, particularly pork prices falling more than 15% year-on-year due to ample supply, while core inflation held near 0.9%. Earlier 2026 reflation from elevated energy and commodity costs tied to geopolitical tensions has faded, leaving headline figures reliant on weak consumption, property-sector softness, and limited pass-through from producer prices. Official commentary points to moderate second-half gains from pro-consumption policies, yet retail sales and industrial output data through July showed further momentum loss. This keeps the leading 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% bins closely matched, as traders weigh whether August will extend the July downside surprise or stabilize near the year-to-date average near 0.9%. Any sharper pork rebound, additional fiscal support, or global commodity shifts could separate outcomes by altering food and energy components before the print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.5% - 0.6% 39%
0.7% - 0.8% 32%
0.9%+ 14.3%
0.3% - 0.4% 8.9%
$18,603 Vol.
$18,603 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
4%
0.3% - 0.4%
9%
0.5% - 0.6%
39%
0.7% - 0.8%
32%
0.9%+
14%
0.5% - 0.6% 39%
0.7% - 0.8% 32%
0.9%+ 14.3%
0.3% - 0.4% 8.9%
$18,603 Vol.
$18,603 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
$350 Vol.
4%
0.3% - 0.4%
$826 Vol.
9%
0.5% - 0.6%
$7,898 Vol.
39%
0.7% - 0.8%
$8,356 Vol.
32%
0.9%+
$1,173 Vol.
14%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China’s August CPI release, due in September, sits at the center of trader focus amid subdued domestic demand and mixed price signals.** July’s 0.5% year-on-year print—well below the 0.8% consensus—highlighted ongoing drags from food deflation, particularly pork prices falling more than 15% year-on-year due to ample supply, while core inflation held near 0.9%. Earlier 2026 reflation from elevated energy and commodity costs tied to geopolitical tensions has faded, leaving headline figures reliant on weak consumption, property-sector softness, and limited pass-through from producer prices. Official commentary points to moderate second-half gains from pro-consumption policies, yet retail sales and industrial output data through July showed further momentum loss. This keeps the leading 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% bins closely matched, as traders weigh whether August will extend the July downside surprise or stabilize near the year-to-date average near 0.9%. Any sharper pork rebound, additional fiscal support, or global commodity shifts could separate outcomes by altering food and energy components before the print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$18,603End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China’s August CPI release, due in September, sits at the center of trader focus amid subdued domestic demand and mixed price signals.** July’s 0.5% year-on-year print—well below the 0.8% consensus—highlighted ongoing drags from food deflation, particularly pork prices falling more than 15% year-on-year due to ample supply, while core inflation held near 0.9%. Earlier 2026 reflation from elevated energy and commodity costs tied to geopolitical tensions has faded, leaving headline figures reliant on weak consumption, property-sector softness, and limited pass-through from producer prices. Official commentary points to moderate second-half gains from pro-consumption policies, yet retail sales and industrial output data through July showed further momentum loss. This keeps the leading 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% bins closely matched, as traders weigh whether August will extend the July downside surprise or stabilize near the year-to-date average near 0.9%. Any sharper pork rebound, additional fiscal support, or global commodity shifts could separate outcomes by altering food and energy components before the print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$18,603End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**China’s August CPI release, due in September, sits at the center of trader focus amid subdued domestic demand and mixed price signals.** July’s 0.5% year-on-year print—well below the 0.8% consensus—highlighted ongoing drags from food deflation, particularly pork prices falling more than 15% year-on-year due to ample supply, while core inflation held near 0.9%. Earlier 2026 reflation from elevated energy and commodity costs tied to geopolitical tensions has faded, leaving headline figures reliant on weak consumption, property-sector softness, and limited pass-through from producer prices. Official commentary points to moderate second-half gains from pro-consumption policies, yet retail sales and industrial output data through July showed further momentum loss. This keeps the leading 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% bins closely matched, as traders weigh whether August will extend the July downside surprise or stabilize near the year-to-date average near 0.9%. Any sharper pork rebound, additional fiscal support, or global commodity shifts could separate outcomes by altering food and energy components before the print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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