Recent July CPI data showed headline inflation rebounding to +0.07–0.1% month-over-month from June’s -0.4% energy-driven decline, with core rising 0.22%, leaving the year-over-year rate at 3.4% headline and 2.5% core. Trader consensus for August centers on 0.3–0.4% monthly gains, reflecting Cleveland Fed nowcasts of +0.35% headline and forecasts such as TD Securities’ +0.39% that incorporate the first gasoline price increase since May alongside firmer shelter and services components. Persistent underlying pressures in core goods and supercore services support the elevated probability of outcomes near 0.4%, while risks of a larger print above 0.5% remain if energy rebounds more sharply. The August CPI release on September 11 will resolve the market amid ongoing focus on the Fed’s inflation path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.4% 43%
0.3% 27%
≥0.5% 22%
0.2% 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
4%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
2%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
27%
0.4%
43%
≥0.5%
22%
0.4% 43%
0.3% 27%
≥0.5% 22%
0.2% 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
$161 Vol.
1%
-0.2%
$179 Vol.
4%
-0.1%
$253 Vol.
1%
0.0%
$323 Vol.
2%
0.1%
$281 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$562 Vol.
6%
0.3%
$2,147 Vol.
27%
0.4%
$1,719 Vol.
43%
≥0.5%
$1,472 Vol.
22%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed headline inflation rebounding to +0.07–0.1% month-over-month from June’s -0.4% energy-driven decline, with core rising 0.22%, leaving the year-over-year rate at 3.4% headline and 2.5% core. Trader consensus for August centers on 0.3–0.4% monthly gains, reflecting Cleveland Fed nowcasts of +0.35% headline and forecasts such as TD Securities’ +0.39% that incorporate the first gasoline price increase since May alongside firmer shelter and services components. Persistent underlying pressures in core goods and supercore services support the elevated probability of outcomes near 0.4%, while risks of a larger print above 0.5% remain if energy rebounds more sharply. The August CPI release on September 11 will resolve the market amid ongoing focus on the Fed’s inflation path.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$7,098End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed headline inflation rebounding to +0.07–0.1% month-over-month from June’s -0.4% energy-driven decline, with core rising 0.22%, leaving the year-over-year rate at 3.4% headline and 2.5% core. Trader consensus for August centers on 0.3–0.4% monthly gains, reflecting Cleveland Fed nowcasts of +0.35% headline and forecasts such as TD Securities’ +0.39% that incorporate the first gasoline price increase since May alongside firmer shelter and services components. Persistent underlying pressures in core goods and supercore services support the elevated probability of outcomes near 0.4%, while risks of a larger print above 0.5% remain if energy rebounds more sharply. The August CPI release on September 11 will resolve the market amid ongoing focus on the Fed’s inflation path.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$7,098End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showed headline inflation rebounding to +0.07–0.1% month-over-month from June’s -0.4% energy-driven decline, with core rising 0.22%, leaving the year-over-year rate at 3.4% headline and 2.5% core. Trader consensus for August centers on 0.3–0.4% monthly gains, reflecting Cleveland Fed nowcasts of +0.35% headline and forecasts such as TD Securities’ +0.39% that incorporate the first gasoline price increase since May alongside firmer shelter and services components. Persistent underlying pressures in core goods and supercore services support the elevated probability of outcomes near 0.4%, while risks of a larger print above 0.5% remain if energy rebounds more sharply. The August CPI release on September 11 will resolve the market amid ongoing focus on the Fed’s inflation path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions