Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19-22%, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the 16-20% range, with SPD further back. This fragmented distribution sustains close competition for second place, as small shifts in turnout or preferences among urban voters, migrants, and economic concerns could reorder the middle pack. The CDU's candidate switch to Stefan Evers and ongoing coalition fatigue with the SPD have influenced positioning, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends on migration without coalition viability. Trader pricing on second-place outcomes tracks these volatile surveys, where late polls, candidate debates, or turnout variations among swing blocs could separate the contenders before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 38%
AfD 34%
Linke 14%
Grüne 7%
$23,940 Vol.
$23,940 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
38%
AfD
34%
Linke
14%
Grüne
7%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 38%
AfD 34%
Linke 14%
Grüne 7%
$23,940 Vol.
$23,940 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$3,251 Vol.
38%
AfD
$5,376 Vol.
34%
Linke
$5,958 Vol.
14%
Grüne
$4,186 Vol.
7%
SPD
$3,060 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19-22%, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the 16-20% range, with SPD further back. This fragmented distribution sustains close competition for second place, as small shifts in turnout or preferences among urban voters, migrants, and economic concerns could reorder the middle pack. The CDU's candidate switch to Stefan Evers and ongoing coalition fatigue with the SPD have influenced positioning, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends on migration without coalition viability. Trader pricing on second-place outcomes tracks these volatile surveys, where late polls, candidate debates, or turnout variations among swing blocs could separate the contenders before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$23,940End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19-22%, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the 16-20% range, with SPD further back. This fragmented distribution sustains close competition for second place, as small shifts in turnout or preferences among urban voters, migrants, and economic concerns could reorder the middle pack. The CDU's candidate switch to Stefan Evers and ongoing coalition fatigue with the SPD have influenced positioning, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends on migration without coalition viability. Trader pricing on second-place outcomes tracks these volatile surveys, where late polls, candidate debates, or turnout variations among swing blocs could separate the contenders before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$23,940End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19-22%, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the 16-20% range, with SPD further back. This fragmented distribution sustains close competition for second place, as small shifts in turnout or preferences among urban voters, migrants, and economic concerns could reorder the middle pack. The CDU's candidate switch to Stefan Evers and ongoing coalition fatigue with the SPD have influenced positioning, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends on migration without coalition viability. Trader pricing on second-place outcomes tracks these volatile surveys, where late polls, candidate debates, or turnout variations among swing blocs could separate the contenders before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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