Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest market position for first place in Goiás’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting trader assessment of his consolidation of conservative support in the state’s agribusiness-heavy electorate. His Liberal Party (PL) launched majoritarian candidacies there in June, and national polling shows him closing gaps with Lula while inheriting Bolsonarista infrastructure. Ronaldo Caiado, the former governor who resigned in March to run nationally, retains notable local recognition but trails in implied market probability amid a fragmented right. Lula registers minimal odds, consistent with Goiás’s right-leaning profile. With official campaigning underway since mid-August and free airtime beginning soon, traders appear focused on whether Flávio can unify anti-Lula votes before the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Flavio Bolsonaro 62%
Ronaldo Caiado 36%
Lula 1.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$33,099 Vol.
$33,099 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
62%
Ronaldo Caiado
36%
Lula
2%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 62%
Ronaldo Caiado 36%
Lula 1.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$33,099 Vol.
$33,099 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$14,543 Vol.
62%
Ronaldo Caiado
$8,045 Vol.
36%
Lula
$4,755 Vol.
2%
Clariana Barao
$469 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$458 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$494 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$519 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,480 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$570 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$385 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$398 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$537 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$444 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest market position for first place in Goiás’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting trader assessment of his consolidation of conservative support in the state’s agribusiness-heavy electorate. His Liberal Party (PL) launched majoritarian candidacies there in June, and national polling shows him closing gaps with Lula while inheriting Bolsonarista infrastructure. Ronaldo Caiado, the former governor who resigned in March to run nationally, retains notable local recognition but trails in implied market probability amid a fragmented right. Lula registers minimal odds, consistent with Goiás’s right-leaning profile. With official campaigning underway since mid-August and free airtime beginning soon, traders appear focused on whether Flávio can unify anti-Lula votes before the ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,099End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest market position for first place in Goiás’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting trader assessment of his consolidation of conservative support in the state’s agribusiness-heavy electorate. His Liberal Party (PL) launched majoritarian candidacies there in June, and national polling shows him closing gaps with Lula while inheriting Bolsonarista infrastructure. Ronaldo Caiado, the former governor who resigned in March to run nationally, retains notable local recognition but trails in implied market probability amid a fragmented right. Lula registers minimal odds, consistent with Goiás’s right-leaning profile. With official campaigning underway since mid-August and free airtime beginning soon, traders appear focused on whether Flávio can unify anti-Lula votes before the ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$33,099End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest market position for first place in Goiás’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting trader assessment of his consolidation of conservative support in the state’s agribusiness-heavy electorate. His Liberal Party (PL) launched majoritarian candidacies there in June, and national polling shows him closing gaps with Lula while inheriting Bolsonarista infrastructure. Ronaldo Caiado, the former governor who resigned in March to run nationally, retains notable local recognition but trails in implied market probability amid a fragmented right. Lula registers minimal odds, consistent with Goiás’s right-leaning profile. With official campaigning underway since mid-August and free airtime beginning soon, traders appear focused on whether Flávio can unify anti-Lula votes before the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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