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Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

icon for Colima Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 54%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 11.1%

Griselda Martínez Martínez 9.3%

Sofía Peralta Ferro 5.2%

Polymarket

$18,480 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 54%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 11.1%

Griselda Martínez Martínez 9.3%

Sofía Peralta Ferro 5.2%

Polymarket

$18,480 Vol.

icon for Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$9,520 Vol.

54%

icon for Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

$476 Vol.

11%

icon for Griselda Martínez Martínez

Griselda Martínez Martínez

$943 Vol.

9%

icon for Sofía Peralta Ferro

Sofía Peralta Ferro

$311 Vol.

5%

icon for María Cristina Lupien

María Cristina Lupien

$360 Vol.

4%

icon for Mario Delgado Carrillo

Mario Delgado Carrillo

$1,392 Vol.

4%

icon for Joel Padilla Peña

Joel Padilla Peña

$266 Vol.

3%

icon for César Yáñez Centeno

César Yáñez Centeno

$334 Vol.

3%

icon for Margarita Moreno González

Margarita Moreno González

$342 Vol.

2%

icon for José Israel González

José Israel González

$298 Vol.

2%

icon for Viridiana Valencia Vargas

Viridiana Valencia Vargas

$381 Vol.

2%

icon for Gabriela Benavides Cobos

Gabriela Benavides Cobos

$291 Vol.

1%

icon for Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

$756 Vol.

1%

icon for Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

$280 Vol.

6%

icon for Mely Romero Celis

Mely Romero Celis

$365 Vol.

1%

icon for Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

$298 Vol.

1%

icon for Enrique Rojas Orozco

Enrique Rojas Orozco

$376 Vol.

1%

icon for Hilda Lizette Moreno

Hilda Lizette Moreno

$285 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

$294 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esther Gutiérrez

Esther Gutiérrez

$337 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Manuel Romero Coello

José Manuel Romero Coello

$302 Vol.

<1%

icon for Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

$312 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera’s position as the leading contender for the 2027 Colima gubernatorial nomination within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition reflects her strong internal polling and recent formal steps. As mayor of Manzanillo, she requested a license in June 2026 to enter the coalition’s state coordination selection process, where July surveys placed her well ahead of other aspirants such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. Traders assign her the highest implied probability because Morena’s structural advantage in the state makes the coalition nominee the presumptive favorite in the general election scheduled for June 2027. Opposition figures including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez of the PAN and Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua register far lower odds, as no unified challenge has yet crystallized. The race remains fluid pending completion of the internal selection and potential late shifts in coalition alignments or polling trends.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$18,480
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera’s position as the leading contender for the 2027 Colima gubernatorial nomination within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition reflects her strong internal polling and recent formal steps. As mayor of Manzanillo, she requested a license in June 2026 to enter the coalition’s state coordination selection process, where July surveys placed her well ahead of other aspirants such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. Traders assign her the highest implied probability because Morena’s structural advantage in the state makes the coalition nominee the presumptive favorite in the general election scheduled for June 2027. Opposition figures including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez of the PAN and Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua register far lower odds, as no unified challenge has yet crystallized. The race remains fluid pending completion of the internal selection and potential late shifts in coalition alignments or polling trends.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$18,480
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colima Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 54%, followed by "Riult Rivera Gutiérrez" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colima Governor Election Winner" has generated $18.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colima Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colima Governor Election Winner" is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Riult Rivera Gutiérrez" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colima Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.