**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for August 29–31, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, followed by <40 at 31.5%.** These ranges reflect the typical weekend slowdown in posting volume, when daily activity often falls well below the 30–50 range seen on weekdays. Recent resolved short windows, including the Aug 27–29 period that heavily favored 40–64, reinforce this pattern of moderated engagement absent major news catalysts. Friday’s visible posts around Grok Bot features, Space Academy announcements, and quick reactions kept momentum steady but not elevated. No breaking developments—such as product launches, regulatory shifts, or high-stakes cultural moments—have surfaced to push activity into the 65+ brackets, which trade at just 12.5% or lower. Historical weekend data and the absence of weekend-specific spikes support the current pricing, though a truly quiet stretch could still tip totals below 40. The next few days will hinge on any late cultural or platform-related commentary that could nudge counts higher before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 50%
<40 32%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.5%
NEW
$41,323 Vol.
NEW
$41,323 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<40
32%
40-64
50%
65-89
13%
90-114
3%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
<40 32%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.5%
NEW
$41,323 Vol.
NEW
$41,323 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<40
$6,261 Vol.
32%
40-64
$5,961 Vol.
50%
65-89
$3,479 Vol.
13%
90-114
$4,590 Vol.
3%
115-139
$12,442 Vol.
2%
140-164
$2,068 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$2,674 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$1,763 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$811 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for August 29–31, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, followed by <40 at 31.5%.** These ranges reflect the typical weekend slowdown in posting volume, when daily activity often falls well below the 30–50 range seen on weekdays. Recent resolved short windows, including the Aug 27–29 period that heavily favored 40–64, reinforce this pattern of moderated engagement absent major news catalysts.
Friday’s visible posts around Grok Bot features, Space Academy announcements, and quick reactions kept momentum steady but not elevated. No breaking developments—such as product launches, regulatory shifts, or high-stakes cultural moments—have surfaced to push activity into the 65+ brackets, which trade at just 12.5% or lower. Historical weekend data and the absence of weekend-specific spikes support the current pricing, though a truly quiet stretch could still tip totals below 40. The next few days will hinge on any late cultural or platform-related commentary that could nudge counts higher before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$41,323End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for August 29–31, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, followed by <40 at 31.5%.** These ranges reflect the typical weekend slowdown in posting volume, when daily activity often falls well below the 30–50 range seen on weekdays. Recent resolved short windows, including the Aug 27–29 period that heavily favored 40–64, reinforce this pattern of moderated engagement absent major news catalysts.
Friday’s visible posts around Grok Bot features, Space Academy announcements, and quick reactions kept momentum steady but not elevated. No breaking developments—such as product launches, regulatory shifts, or high-stakes cultural moments—have surfaced to push activity into the 65+ brackets, which trade at just 12.5% or lower. Historical weekend data and the absence of weekend-specific spikes support the current pricing, though a truly quiet stretch could still tip totals below 40. The next few days will hinge on any late cultural or platform-related commentary that could nudge counts higher before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$41,323End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for August 29–31, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, followed by <40 at 31.5%.** These ranges reflect the typical weekend slowdown in posting volume, when daily activity often falls well below the 30–50 range seen on weekdays. Recent resolved short windows, including the Aug 27–29 period that heavily favored 40–64, reinforce this pattern of moderated engagement absent major news catalysts. Friday’s visible posts around Grok Bot features, Space Academy announcements, and quick reactions kept momentum steady but not elevated. No breaking developments—such as product launches, regulatory shifts, or high-stakes cultural moments—have surfaced to push activity into the 65+ brackets, which trade at just 12.5% or lower. Historical weekend data and the absence of weekend-specific spikes support the current pricing, though a truly quiet stretch could still tip totals below 40. The next few days will hinge on any late cultural or platform-related commentary that could nudge counts higher before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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