Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a structurally safe Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94.8% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime Representative Frederica Wilson’s retirement triggered an August 18 Democratic primary won by Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, who will face Republican Te Brown in the November 3 general election. The district’s voting-age population—roughly 48% Black and 41% Hispanic—delivered approximately 69% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, producing consistent Democratic margins that have prompted nonpartisan ratings to classify the race as solid or safe for the party. Republican fundraising and visibility have stayed minimal. Only a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$32,395 Vol.
$32,395 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$32,395 Vol.
$32,395 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,414 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$14,981 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a structurally safe Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94.8% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime Representative Frederica Wilson’s retirement triggered an August 18 Democratic primary won by Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, who will face Republican Te Brown in the November 3 general election. The district’s voting-age population—roughly 48% Black and 41% Hispanic—delivered approximately 69% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, producing consistent Democratic margins that have prompted nonpartisan ratings to classify the race as solid or safe for the party. Republican fundraising and visibility have stayed minimal. Only a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$32,395End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a structurally safe Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94.8% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime Representative Frederica Wilson’s retirement triggered an August 18 Democratic primary won by Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, who will face Republican Te Brown in the November 3 general election. The district’s voting-age population—roughly 48% Black and 41% Hispanic—delivered approximately 69% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, producing consistent Democratic margins that have prompted nonpartisan ratings to classify the race as solid or safe for the party. Republican fundraising and visibility have stayed minimal. Only a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,395End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a structurally safe Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94.8% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime Representative Frederica Wilson’s retirement triggered an August 18 Democratic primary won by Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, who will face Republican Te Brown in the November 3 general election. The district’s voting-age population—roughly 48% Black and 41% Hispanic—delivered approximately 69% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, producing consistent Democratic margins that have prompted nonpartisan ratings to classify the race as solid or safe for the party. Republican fundraising and visibility have stayed minimal. Only a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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