Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr and independent Eddy Rojas in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party primaries were canceled due to single-candidate qualification. The district, covering Miami suburbs including areas around Homestead and the Keys, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Solid R rating and the state's post-redistricting map that favors a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Gimenez's prior reelection margins and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
$51,129 Vol.
$51,129 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$51,129 Vol.
$51,129 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$28,646 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$22,483 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr and independent Eddy Rojas in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party primaries were canceled due to single-candidate qualification. The district, covering Miami suburbs including areas around Homestead and the Keys, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Solid R rating and the state's post-redistricting map that favors a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Gimenez's prior reelection margins and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$51,129End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr and independent Eddy Rojas in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party primaries were canceled due to single-candidate qualification. The district, covering Miami suburbs including areas around Homestead and the Keys, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Solid R rating and the state's post-redistricting map that favors a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Gimenez's prior reelection margins and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,129End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr and independent Eddy Rojas in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party primaries were canceled due to single-candidate qualification. The district, covering Miami suburbs including areas around Homestead and the Keys, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Solid R rating and the state's post-redistricting map that favors a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Gimenez's prior reelection margins and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors limit realistic shifts before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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