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Politics·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Angie Nixon 100.0%

Josh Weil <1%

Alexander Vindman <1%

Jennifer Jenkins <1%

Polymarket

$294,439 Vol.

Angie Nixon 100.0%

Josh Weil <1%

Alexander Vindman <1%

Jennifer Jenkins <1%

Polymarket

$294,439 Vol.

icon for Angie Nixon

Angie Nixon

$88,103 Vol.

100%

icon for Josh Weil

Josh Weil

$6,685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexander Vindman

Alexander Vindman

$99,614 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jennifer Jenkins

Jennifer Jenkins

$36,724 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Crist

Charlie Crist

$4,246 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alan Grayson

Alan Grayson

$2,777 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joey Atkins

Joey Atkins

$3,329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Moskowitz

Jared Moskowitz

$52,960 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Angie Nixon secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s U.S. Senate special election on August 18, 2026, defeating former Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman by roughly 12 points.** Her commanding market position reflects this decisive primary result, driven by strong grassroots organizing, union support, and emphasis on affordability issues such as healthcare, housing, and childcare costs that resonated across diverse Democratic voter blocs. Despite raising under $1 million against Vindman’s $16 million-plus war chest, Nixon built momentum through endorsements from progressive figures including Reps. Maxwell Frost, Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib, Ayanna Pressley, and Sen. Bernie Sanders. Other listed candidates had withdrawn or failed to qualify earlier. With the primary complete and results widely reported, the outcome faces limited realistic challenges beyond routine certification processes or unforeseen legal disputes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$294,439
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Angie Nixon secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s U.S. Senate special election on August 18, 2026, defeating former Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman by roughly 12 points.** Her commanding market position reflects this decisive primary result, driven by strong grassroots organizing, union support, and emphasis on affordability issues such as healthcare, housing, and childcare costs that resonated across diverse Democratic voter blocs. Despite raising under $1 million against Vindman’s $16 million-plus war chest, Nixon built momentum through endorsements from progressive figures including Reps. Maxwell Frost, Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib, Ayanna Pressley, and Sen. Bernie Sanders. Other listed candidates had withdrawn or failed to qualify earlier. With the primary complete and results widely reported, the outcome faces limited realistic challenges beyond routine certification processes or unforeseen legal disputes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$294,439
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Angie Nixon" at 100%, followed by "Josh Weil" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $294.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Angie Nixon" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Weil" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.